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TruProps🚀

@TrumanL0734 followersfirst pick 13 Augusually posts 4 h before start

Daily Free Picks 🏈🏀⚾️ Join 8000+ profiting daily in the Discord 🔗⬇️

NFL & NCAAFBaseballHockey
CompareRSS
Tipster index46.2needs 10+ graded picksbuilding history
Hit rate
42.9%
expected 52.8%
Edge
−10.0 pp
over expectation
Graded
7
3-4
ROI
−62.8%
on 5 picks with odds · max drawdown −3.14 u
Average odds
1.71
singles with odds
Form
streak W1 · best W1, worst L2

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-1.5-1-0.5012 Aug30 Aug17 Sept5 Oct23 Oct

By sport

NFL & NCAAF3-1 · 4 graded
+27.0
75%
Baseball0-2 · 2 graded
−59.2
0%
Hockey0-1 · 1 graded
−59.5
0%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result0-4 · 4 graded
−57.8
0%
Handicap3-0 · 3 graded
+53.8
100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite0-1 · 1 graded
−60.9
0%
Even3-3 · 6 graded
−1.5
50%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

1.50…1.891-4 · 5 graded
−62.8%
20%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 0 of 1 months with 5+ picks
  • August 2026
    −57.6 pp
    0-1 · 0%
  • October 2026
    −2.0 pp
    3-3 · 50%

By league

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Same main sport, closest index

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Picks

Singleposted 22 Oct, 22:17 · 2 h before start
Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Chicago Bears
30:24
New England Patriots
Chicago Bears −2.5
Open on Xexpected 44% by model
Singleposted 14 Oct, 19:15 · 5 h before start
odds 1.61DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Colorado Avalanche
2:3
Dallas Stars
penalties
Colorado Avalanche to win
Open on Xexpected 59% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 12 Oct, 22:46 · 1 h before start
odds 1.86DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NFL · Regular Season·
Los Angeles Rams
34:37
Buffalo Bills
Buffalo Bills +3.5
Open on Xexpected 51% from the closing line+0.86 u
Singleposted 10 Oct, 19:07 · 4 h before start
odds 1.80DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Alabama Crimson Tide
17:20
Georgia Bulldogs
Alabama Crimson Tide to win
Open on Xexpected 53% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 9 Oct, 21:34 · 1 h before start
Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Louisville Cardinals
44:20
Florida State Seminoles
Louisville Cardinals −2.5
Open on Xexpected 44% by model
Singleposted 7 Oct, 20:28 · 4 h before start
odds 1.57DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
MLB · post-season·
New York Yankees
3:4
Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees to win
Open on Xexpected 61% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 13 Aug, 16:03 · 4 h before start
odds 1.70DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
MLB·
Washington Nationals
7:0
Chicago Cubs
Chicago Cubs to win
Open on Xexpected 58% from the closing line−1.00 u