
TicketLab
Free football & US sports tips when there's a clear edge. Every result tracked. https://t.co/2Y4jfua0sh · IG: ticketlabtips · NFA · 18+ · Gamble responsibly
Wins above expectation
Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.
By sport
Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.
By market
Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.
Favourites and underdogs
Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.
By odds
Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).
By month
Hit rate above expectation in 2 of 2 months with 5+ picks- September 2026+7.1 pp6-4 · 60%ROI +15.2%
- October 2026+4.5 pp22-19 · 54%ROI +12.1%
By league
- UEFA Nations League8-373%+16.8
- Champions League5-183%+30.1
- NFL2-250%−1.1
- Europa League2-250%−5.7
- Serie A · Italy2-250%+2.8
- Premier League · England2-167%+23.9
- Championship · England1-150%+12.3
- National League · England1-150%+11.5
- MLB · USA0-10%−46.2
- Primeira Liga · Portugal0-10%−42.4
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