odds 1.87Lost
NFL Β· Regular SeasonΒ·
Philadelphia Eagles
21:38
Dallas CowboysPhiladelphia Eagles +4.5@1.87
Cursed Captain
π΄ββ οΈ The Cursed Captain β οΈ β οΈDead Man Locks π NFL β’ CFB β’ MLB β’ NHL π° Join the Crew, Weβre hunting treasure.
NFL & NCAAFBaseball
Hit rate
60.0%
expected 50.7%
Edge
+9.3 pp
95% lower bound of the hit rate: 35.2%, the edge is within noise
Graded
10
6-4
ROI
+1.5%
on 9 picks with odds Β· max drawdown β2.00 u
Average odds
1.87
singles with odds
Form
streak L1 Β· best W4, worst L2
Wins above expectation
Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.
By sport
NFL & NCAAF6-3 Β· 9 graded
+15.367%
Baseball0-1 Β· 1 graded
β44.60%
Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.
By market
Handicap6-3 Β· 9 graded
+15.367%
Match result0-1 Β· 1 graded
β44.60%
Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.
Favourites and underdogs
Even6-4 Β· 10 graded
+9.360%
Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.
By odds
1.50β¦1.895-3 Β· 8 graded
+14.2%63%
1.90β¦2.290-1 Β· 1 graded
-0%
Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).
By month
Hit rate above expectation in 1 of 1 months with 5+ picks- October 2026+9.3 pp6-4 Β· 60%ROI +1.5%
By league
- NFL5-363%+11.0
- MLB Β· USA0-10%β44.6
- NCAAF1-0100%+49.1
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Picks
Dallas Cowboysodds 1.83Won
NFL Β· Regular SeasonΒ·
Seattle Seahawks
20:3
Kansas City ChiefsSeattle Seahawks β2.5@1.83
odds 1.83Won
NFL Β· Regular SeasonΒ·
Las Vegas Raiders
21:35
Los Angeles RamsLos Angeles Rams β3@1.83
odds 1.83Won
NFL Β· Regular SeasonΒ·
Baltimore Ravens
13:35
Cincinnati BengalsCincinnati Bengals β2.5@1.83
odds 1.83DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NFL Β· Regular SeasonΒ·
Minnesota Vikings
16:10
Indianapolis ColtsMinnesota Vikings β6.5
odds 1.77Won
NFL Β· Regular SeasonΒ·
New Orleans Saints
10:16
Pittsburgh SteelersPittsburgh Steelers β2.5@1.77
odds 1.87Won
NCAAF Β· NCAAF: Regular SeasonΒ·
Utah Utes
21:13
Houston CougarsUtah Utes β6.5@1.87
Won
NFL Β· Regular SeasonΒ·
Chicago Bears
30:24
New England PatriotsChicago Bears β2.5
odds 1.83Lost
NFL Β· Regular SeasonΒ·
San Francisco 49ers
23:17
Washington CommandersSan Francisco 49ers β7@1.83
odds 2.17DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
MLB Β· post-seasonΒ·
Cleveland Guardians
3:2
Tampa Bay RaysTampa Bay Rays to win