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Tipster index64.0#54 on the leaderboardestablished sample

Open picks 4

Games not played yet

Kenya · Premier League·29 Oct, 13:15

Kenya Police

-:-

Ulinzi Stars

Both teams to score: no

Super League·30 Oct, 14:00

Northeast United FC

-:-

Bengaluru FC

Both teams to score: no

Niger · Super Ligue·30 Oct, 15:15

Douanes Niamey

-:-

As Police

Both teams to score: no

Chile · Primera B·31 Oct, 20:30

San Marcos

-:-

San Luis

Both teams to score: no

Hit rate

51.1%

expected 43.2%

Edge

+7.9 pp

hit rate at least 45.6% with 95% confidence: the edge is not luck

Graded

221

113-108 · 4 pending

ROI

on 2 picks with odds

Average odds

3.09

singles with odds

Form

streak W1 · best W6, worst L5

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

By sport

Football111-100 · 211 graded

+8.3

53%

Hockey2-6 · 8 graded

+12.1

25%

Basketball0-1 · 1 graded

−22.7

NFL & NCAAF0-1 · 1 graded

−68.8

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Both teams to score111-104 · 215 graded

+8.4

52%

Match result2-2 · 4 graded

+1.9

50%

Parlays0-2 · 2 graded

−30.3

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite1-1 · 2 graded

−25.1

50%

Even109-98 · 207 graded

+8.3

53%

Underdog3-7 · 10 graded

+15.4

30%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

< 1.500-1 · 1 graded

3.50+1-0 · 1 graded

100%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 2 of 3 months with 5+ picks

August 2026
+8.6 pp
19-18 · 51%
September 2026
+16.4 pp
54-36 · 60%
October 2026
−0.4 pp
40-54 · 43%

By league

PFL · Philippines9-564%+17.3
Primera B · Chile5-742%−1.5
International Friendlies6-555%+10.0
Primera C · Argentina6-460%+16.1
ASEAN Cup · International6-367%+22.1
Division Intermedia · Paraguay3-443%−1.0
Liga MX · Mexico1-517%−27.9
Segunda División · Uruguay3-350%+5.1
USL Championship · USA3-260%+16.6
Hong Kong Premier League2-250%+4.7

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Picks

Singleposted 29 Oct, 04:31 · 3 days before start

Pending

Chile · Primera B·31 Oct, 20:30

San Marcos

-:-

San Luis

Both teams to score: no

Singleposted 28 Oct, 12:53 · 2 days before start

Pending

Super League·30 Oct, 14:00

Northeast United FC

-:-

Bengaluru FC

Both teams to score: no

Singleposted 28 Oct, 03:44 · 3 days before start

Pending

Niger · Super Ligue·30 Oct, 15:15

Douanes Niamey

-:-

As Police

Both teams to score: no

Singleposted 27 Oct, 13:45 · 2 days before start

Pending

Kenya · Premier League·29 Oct, 13:15

Kenya Police

-:-

Ulinzi Stars

Both teams to score: no

Singleposted 27 Oct, 05:15 · 38 h before start

Won

EFL Cup · EFL Cup: Round 4·28 Oct, 19:45

Fulham

0:1

Crystal Palace

Both teams to score: no

Singleposted 27 Oct, 01:07 · 23 h before start

Lost

NHL · NHL: Regular season·28 Oct, 00:00

Dallas Stars

1:5

New Jersey Devils

Both teams to score: no

Singleposted 26 Oct, 03:46 · 40 h before start

Won

Isthmian League Northern Division · Isthmian League: North Division·27 Oct, 19:45

Canvey Island

2:0

Hashtag United

Both teams to score: no

Singleposted 25 Oct, 12:00 · 2 h before start

Won

Italy · Serie D: Group I·25 Oct, 14:00

Gela

4:0

Licata

Both teams to score: no

Singleposted 25 Oct, 06:59 · 1 h before start

Void

Taiwan · Premier League·25 Oct, 08:00

AC Taipei

void

Hang Yuan

Both teams to score: no

Singleposted 25 Oct, 00:43 · 13 h before start

Won

Serie D: Group B·25 Oct, 13:30

AC Leon

0:4

Chievo Verona

Both teams to score: no

Singleposted 25 Oct, 00:18 · 16 h before start

Lost

Ligue 1·25 Oct, 16:15

Marseille

4:3

Le Havre

Both teams to score: no

Singleposted 24 Oct, 09:17 · 5 h before start

Lost

National League North · National League: North·24 Oct, 14:00

Marine

1:1

Oxford City

Both teams to score: no

Singleposted 24 Oct, 02:48 · 12 h before start

Lost

Spain · Segunda Division RFEF: Group 1·24 Oct, 15:00

UD Llanera

1:3

Compostela

Both teams to score: no

Singleposted 23 Oct, 23:49 · 38 h before start

Lost

Serie D: Group D·25 Oct, 13:30

Tropical Coriano

1:2

Arconatese

Both teams to score: no

Singleposted 23 Oct, 13:38 · 33 h before start

Lost

Liga MX · Liga MX: Apertura·24 Oct, 23:00

Leon

1:1

Toluca

Both teams to score: no

Singleposted 23 Oct, 13:05 · 2 days before start

odds 1.39Lost

NFL · Regular Season·25 Oct, 17:00

Atlanta Falcons

29:20

San Francisco 49ers

San Francisco 49ers to win@1.39

Singleposted 23 Oct, 11:46 · 2 days before start

Won

Bolivia · Nacional B: Play-off·25 Oct, 19:00

CD San Martin

2:0

26 de Febrero Colquiri

Both teams to score: no

Singleposted 23 Oct, 09:12 · 2 days before start

Lost

Chile · Primera B·25 Oct, 18:00

Deportes Temuco

1:2

San Marcos

Both teams to score: no

Singleposted 23 Oct, 06:56 · 2 days before start

Won

Niger · Super Ligue·25 Oct, 15:15

As Police

0:0

AS UAM

Both teams to score: no

Singleposted 23 Oct, 03:20 · 2 days before start

Won

Philippines · PFL·25 Oct, 09:45

Azkals Development Team

0:4

Davao Aguilas

Both teams to score: no

Singleposted 22 Oct, 13:30 · 2 days before start

Won

Portugal · Liga 3: Group A·24 Oct, 15:00

Paredes

4:0

Trofense

Both teams to score: no

Singleposted 22 Oct, 12:49 · 45 h before start

Won

AFC Challenge League · AFC Challenger League: Group E·24 Oct, 09:30

Manila Digger

4:0

Shan United

Both teams to score: no

Singleposted 22 Oct, 10:06 · 2 days before start

Lost

Uruguay · Segunda División·24 Oct, 16:00

River Plate

1:2

Uruguay Montevideo

Both teams to score: no

Singleposted 22 Oct, 09:18 · 3 days before start

Lost

Philippines · PFL·25 Oct, 07:00

Philippine Army

2:4

Stallion Laguna FC

Both teams to score: no

Singleposted 22 Oct, 08:02 · 35 h before start

Lost

San Marino · Campionato Sammarinese·23 Oct, 19:15

SS Pennarossa

2:2

San Giovanni

Both teams to score: no

Singleposted 22 Oct, 06:37 · 2 days before start

Lost

Spain · Segunda Division RFEF: Group 5·24 Oct, 16:00

RSD Alcala

1:2

San Sebastian de los Reyes

Both teams to score: no

Singleposted 21 Oct, 08:13 · 3 days before start

Lost

Peru · Liga 2 Relegation Group B·23 Oct, 20:00

Binacional

1:2

Santos

Both teams to score: no

Singleposted 20 Oct, 10:37 · 1 h before start

Lost

Kenya · Premier League·20 Oct, 12:00

Kenya Police

1:2

AFC Leopards

Both teams to score: no

Singleposted 20 Oct, 08:57 · 28 h before start

Lost

AFC Challenge League · AFC Challenger League: Group E·21 Oct, 12:30

Hang Yuan

1:1

Manila Digger

Both teams to score: no

Singleposted 20 Oct, 05:53 · 3 days before start

Lost

Europa League · League Stage·22 Oct, 19:00

Beşiktaş

2:2

Crystal Palace

Both teams to score: no