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SpilXperten

@SpilXperten4K followersDenmarkfirst pick 14 Augusually posts 23 h before start

Dansk sportsmedie / Analyser og indsigt / Ekspertråd til odds 18+. Spil Ansvarligt. https://t.co/6Bxj9NpX4y. https://t.co/T66BGgsAq2

FootballHockey
CompareRSS
Tipster index49.4needs 10+ graded picksbuilding history

Open picks 1

Games not played yet
Premier League·
Chelsea
-:-
Tottenham Hotspur
Chelsea to win@1.83DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use it
Hit rate
33.3%
expected 35.1%
Edge
−1.8 pp
over expectation
Graded
6
2-4 · 1 pending
ROI
-
on 4 picks with odds
Average odds
2.85
singles with odds
Form
streak L2 · best W1, worst L2

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-0.300.30.50.813 Aug31 Aug18 Sept5 Oct23 Oct

By sport

Football2-3 · 5 graded
+5.6
40%
Hockey0-1 · 1 graded
−38.8
0%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result1-4 · 5 graded
−12.8
20%
Totals1-0 · 1 graded
+53.5
100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Even1-1 · 2 graded
−2.3
50%
Underdog1-3 · 4 graded
−1.5
25%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

1.50…1.890-1 · 1 graded
-
0%
1.90…2.291-0 · 1 graded
-
100%
3.50+0-2 · 2 graded
-
0%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

  • August 2026
    +81.6 pp
    1-0 · 100%
  • September 2026
    +1.6 pp
    1-2 · 33%
  • October 2026
    −48.5 pp
    0-2 · 0%

By league

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Picks

Singleposted 23 Oct, 13:20 · 27 h before start
odds 1.83DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itPending
Premier League·
Chelsea
-:-
Tottenham Hotspur
Chelsea to win
Open on Xexpected 52% from the closing line
Singleposted 23 Oct, 10:31 · 6 h before start
Lost
Denmark · Metal Ligaen·
Esbjerg Energy
1:4
Herning Blue Fox
Esbjerg Energy to win
Open on Xexpected 39% by model
Singleposted 18 Oct, 09:45 · 6 h before start
odds 1.62DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
Superliga·
FC Copenhagen
1:1
AGF
FC Copenhagen to win
Open on Xexpected 58% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 24 Sept, 09:10 · 2 days before start
odds 2.05Won
Paraguay · Division Intermedia·
Tacuary
2:1
Club Dr Benjamin Aceval
Over 2.5@2.05
Open on Xexpected 47% from odds+1.05 u
Singleposted 17 Sept, 13:47 · 27 h before start
odds 3.90DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
Superliga·
Lyngby
0:4
Silkeborg
Draw
Open on Xexpected 24% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 12 Sept, 13:25 · 23 h before start
odds 3.85DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
Superliga·
Silkeborg
1:1
Viborg
Silkeborg to win
Open on Xexpected 24% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 14 Aug, 15:50 · 1 h before start
Won
1st Division·
AaB
0:3
Fredericia
Fredericia to win
Open on Xexpected 18% by model