Spike City

@SpikeCityUSA519 followersfirst pick 26 Septusually posts 4 h before start

Life is a whole lot more fun with a little money on the lines. We do not have a crystal ball, but we believe our model and system are the next best thing.

Baseball

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Tipster index47.7needs 10+ graded picksbuilding history

Open picks 1

Games not played yet

MLB · post-season·24 Oct, 00:00

Milwaukee Brewers

-:-

Tampa Bay Rays

Milwaukee Brewers over 3.5@1.87

Hit rate

40.0%

expected 48.0%

Edge

−8.0 pp

over expectation

Graded

2-3 · 1 pending

ROI

on 3 picks with odds

Average odds

1.70

singles with odds

Form

streak W2 · best W1, worst L2

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

By sport

Baseball2-3 · 5 graded

−8.0

40%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result1-1 · 2 graded

−3.4

50%

Handicap1-1 · 2 graded

−15.7

50%

Parlays0-1 · 1 graded

−2.0

Team totals0-0 · 0 graded

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite1-1 · 2 graded

−15.7

50%

Even1-1 · 2 graded

−3.4

50%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

1.50…1.892-0 · 2 graded

100%

1.90…2.290-1 · 1 graded

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).