Pizza Money Picks

@PizzaMoneyPick91 followersfirst pick 28 Oct

A pizza slice in sunglasses giving out data driven picks. No chasing, no emotion. Just picking our spots. 🍕

Baseball

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Tipster index47.2needs 10+ graded picksbuilding history

Hit rate

0.0%

expected 43.3%

Edge

−43.3 pp

over expectation

Graded

0-1

ROI

on 1 picks with odds

Average odds

2.20

singles with odds

Form

streak L1 · best W0, worst L1

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

By sport

Baseball0-1 · 1 graded

−43.3

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result0-1 · 1 graded

−43.3

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Even0-1 · 1 graded

−43.3

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

1.90…2.290-1 · 1 graded

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).