Peter Appel

@PeterAppel2345.5K followersfirst pick 14 Sept

Co-Founder: @JustBB_Media | Football: @JustGridiron | Everything we do ⬇️

FootballBaseballNFL & NCAAF

CompareRSS

Tipster index42.8needs 10+ graded picksbuilding history

Open picks 1

Games not played yet

League 1·24 Oct, 14:00

Hamilton Academical

-:-

East Fife

Hamilton Academical to win

Hit rate

0.0%

expected 58.0%

Edge

−58.0 pp

over expectation

Graded

0-2 · 1 pending

ROI

on 1 picks with odds

Average odds

2.04

singles with odds

Form

streak L2 · best W0, worst L2

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

By sport

NFL & NCAAF0-1 · 1 graded

−69.0

Baseball0-1 · 1 graded

−46.9

Football0-0 · 0 graded

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Handicap0-1 · 1 graded

−69.0

Match result0-1 · 1 graded

−46.9

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite0-1 · 1 graded

−69.0

Even0-1 · 1 graded

−46.9

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

1.90…2.290-1 · 1 graded

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).