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Parlay Analyzer

@ParlayAnalyzer14.5K followersfirst pick 1 Augusually posts 8 h before start

🏈 Daily NFL picks backed by stats and clear analysis. Follow along, make smarter picks, and enjoy the action!

FootballBaseballNFL & NCAAF
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Tipster index50.6#428 on the leaderboardup 14 this weekestablished sample

Open picks 6

Games not played yet
NFL · Regular Season·
Baltimore Ravens
-:-
Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville Jaguars to win@1.18DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use it
NFL · Regular Season·
Atlanta Falcons
-:-
Cincinnati Bengals
Cincinnati Bengals to win
NFL · Regular Season·
Indianapolis Colts
-:-
Dallas Cowboys
Dallas Cowboys to win
NFL · Regular Season·
Philadelphia Eagles
-:-
New York Giants
New York Giants to win
NFL · Regular Season·
Kansas City Chiefs
-:-
New York Jets
Kansas City Chiefs to win
NFL · Regular Season·
Miami Dolphins
-:-
Detroit Lions
Detroit Lions to win
Hit rate
50.0%
expected 49.5%
Edge
+0.5 pp
95% lower bound of the hit rate: 38.7%, the edge is within noise
Graded
50
25-25 · 11 pending
ROI
−3.2%
on 47 picks with odds · max drawdown −9.82 u
Average odds
1.87
singles with odds
Form
streak W1 · best W6, worst L5

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-4-3-2-1031 Jul23 Aug14 Sept7 Oct30 Oct

By sport

Football18-11 · 29 graded
+12.5
62%
Baseball6-11 · 17 graded
−12.6
35%
NFL & NCAAF1-3 · 4 graded
−31.1
25%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result23-16 · 39 graded
+6.5
59%
Parlays0-6 · 6 graded
−30.2
0%
Totals2-2 · 4 graded
+0.5
50%
Handicap0-1 · 1 graded
−48.6
0%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite4-2 · 6 graded
+3.2
67%
Even20-14 · 34 graded
+6.9
59%
Underdog1-3 · 4 graded
−12.0
25%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

< 1.502-0 · 2 graded
-
100%
1.50…1.8915-11 · 26 graded
−1.9%
58%
1.90…2.296-2 · 8 graded
+53.8%
75%
2.30…3.492-5 · 7 graded
−30.7%
29%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 1 of 3 months with 5+ picks
  • August 2026
    −2.8 pp
    13-15 · 46%
    ROI −16.3%
  • September 2026
    +13.7 pp
    6-4 · 60%
    ROI +49.5%
  • October 2026
    −2.9 pp
    6-6 · 50%
    ROI −8.1%

By league

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Picks

Singleposted 4 Nov, 21:24 · 4 days before start
Pending
NFL · Regular Season·
Indianapolis Colts
-:-
Dallas Cowboys
Dallas Cowboys to win
Open on Xexpected 68% by model
Singleposted 4 Nov, 21:24 · 4 days before start
Pending
NFL · Regular Season·
Philadelphia Eagles
-:-
New York Giants
New York Giants to win
Open on Xexpected 71% by model
Singleposted 4 Nov, 21:24 · 4 days before start
Pending
NFL · Regular Season·
San Francisco 49ers
-:-
Las Vegas Raiders
San Francisco 49ers to win
Open on Xexpected 78% by model
Singleposted 4 Nov, 21:24 · 4 days before start
Pending
NFL · Regular Season·
Kansas City Chiefs
-:-
New York Jets
Kansas City Chiefs to win
Open on Xexpected 73% by model
Singleposted 4 Nov, 21:24 · 28 h before start
odds 1.18DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itPending
NFL · Regular Season·
Baltimore Ravens
-:-
Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville Jaguars to win
Open on Xexpected 81% from the closing line
Singleposted 4 Nov, 21:24 · 4 days before start
Pending
NFL · Regular Season·
Miami Dolphins
-:-
Detroit Lions
Detroit Lions to win
Open on Xexpected 75% by model
Singleposted 4 Nov, 21:24 · 4 days before start
Pending
NFL · Regular Season·
Los Angeles Chargers
-:-
Houston Texans
Houston Texans to win
Open on Xexpected 60% by model
Singleposted 4 Nov, 21:24 · 4 days before start
Pending
NFL · Regular Season·
Washington Commanders
-:-
Los Angeles Rams
Los Angeles Rams to win
Open on Xexpected 67% by model
Singleposted 4 Nov, 21:24 · 4 days before start
Pending
NFL · Regular Season·
Atlanta Falcons
-:-
Cincinnati Bengals
Cincinnati Bengals to win
Open on Xexpected 68% by model
Singleposted 4 Nov, 21:24 · 4 days before start
Pending
NFL · Regular Season·
New Orleans Saints
-:-
Cleveland Browns
New Orleans Saints to win
Open on Xexpected 63% by model
Singleposted 4 Nov, 21:24 · 4 days before start
Pending
NFL · Regular Season·
Carolina Panthers
-:-
Denver Broncos
Denver Broncos to win
Open on Xexpected 60% by model
Singleposted 27 Oct, 23:36 · 2 days before start
odds 1.54DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NFL · Regular Season·
Green Bay Packers
27:19
Carolina Panthers
Green Bay Packers to win
Open on Xexpected 62% from the closing line+0.54 u
Singleposted 14 Oct, 11:11 · 8 h before start
odds 1.90DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
Champions League · League Stage·
Manchester City
2:4
Paris Saint-Germain
Manchester City to win
Open on Xexpected 50% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 14 Oct, 11:11 · 8 h before start
odds 1.95DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
Champions League · League Stage·
AS Roma
3:4
Real Madrid
Real Madrid to win
Open on Xexpected 49% from the closing line+0.95 u
Singleposted 14 Oct, 11:11 · 6 h before start
odds 1.46DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
Champions League · League Stage·
LASK
3:6
Liverpool
Liverpool to win
Open on Xexpected 65% from the closing line+0.46 u
Singleposted 14 Oct, 11:11 · 8 h before start
odds 1.62DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
Champions League · League Stage·
Aston Villa
6:0
Fenerbahçe
Aston Villa to win
Open on Xexpected 59% from the closing line+0.62 u
Singleposted 14 Oct, 11:11 · 8 h before start
odds 2.15DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
Champions League · League Stage·
Real Betis
3:2
FC Porto
Real Betis to win
Open on Xexpected 44% from the closing line+1.15 u
Singleposted 14 Oct, 11:11 · 8 h before start
odds 2.50DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
Champions League · League Stage·
Bodoe/Glimt
1:0
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund to win
Open on Xexpected 38% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 14 Oct, 11:11 · 8 h before start
odds 2.65DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
Champions League · League Stage·
Shakhtar Donetsk
3:1
AEK Athens
AEK Athens to win
Open on Xexpected 36% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 14 Oct, 11:11 · 8 h before start
odds 1.39DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
Champions League · League Stage·
Slovan Bratislava
0:3
VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart to win
Open on Xexpected 69% from the closing line+0.39 u
Singleposted 12 Oct, 23:19 · 55 min before start
Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Los Angeles Rams
34:37
Buffalo Bills
Los Angeles Rams −2.5
Open on Xexpected 49% by model
Singleposted 12 Oct, 23:19 · 55 min before start
odds 1.54DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NFL · Regular Season·
Los Angeles Rams
34:37
Buffalo Bills
Los Angeles Rams to win
Open on Xexpected 62% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 1 Oct, 21:25 · 3 h before start
odds 1.86DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NFL · Regular Season·
Cleveland Browns
27:24
Pittsburgh Steelers
Under 38.5
Open on Xexpected 51% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 9 Sept, 11:25 · 8 h before start
odds 1.66DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
Champions League · League Stage·
Napoli
0:1
Arsenal
Arsenal to win
Open on Xexpected 57% from the closing line+0.66 u
Singleposted 8 Sept, 10:48 · 8 h before start
odds 1.76DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
Champions League · League Stage·
Borussia Dortmund
3:2
Villarreal
Borussia Dortmund to win
Open on Xexpected 54% from the closing line+0.76 u
Parlay · 3posted 7 Sept, 13:03 · 5 h before start
Lost
Saudi Professional League·
Al Hilal
0:2
NEOM SC
Al Hilal to win✕
LaLiga·
Elche
2:3
Real Sociedad
Over 1.5✓
Serie A·
Udinese
1:2
Lazio
Udinese over 0.5✓
Open on Xexpected 55% by model
Singleposted 7 Sept, 10:45 · 9 h before start
odds 2.30DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
LaLiga·
Elche
2:3
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad to win
Open on Xexpected 42% from the closing line+1.30 u
Singleposted 5 Sept, 10:31 · 3 h before start
odds 2.55DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
Bundesliga·
Hoffenheim
2:3
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund to win
Open on Xexpected 36% from the closing line+1.55 u
Parlay · 3posted 5 Sept, 10:08 · 3 h before start
Lost
LaLiga·
Athletic Club
3:0
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid +0.5✕
Bundesliga·
Werder Bremen
3:1
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig to win✕
Primeira Liga·
Sporting CP
2:0
Nacional
Sporting CP over 1.5✓
Open on Xexpected 23% by model
Singleposted 4 Sept, 08:58 · 10 h before start
odds 1.64DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
Serie A·
Genoa
1:4
Como 1907
Como 1907 to win
Open on Xexpected 56% from the closing line+0.64 u