PROP EX

@PROPEXf50w63 followersfirst pick 19 Augusually posts 9 h before start

NFL & NBA Props & Parlays | Multiple Top 5 Finishes

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Tipster index52.6#166 on the leaderboardestablished sample

Open picks 6

Games not played yet

WTA 1000 · Wuhan Open·12 Oct, 06:15

Jasmine Paolini

live

Sara Bejlek

Jasmine Paolini to win@1.40

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·12 Oct, 06:20

Jiri Lehecka

live

Rafael Jodar

Rafael Jodar to win

WTA 1000 · Wuhan Open·12 Oct, 06:25

Mananchaya Sawangkaew

live

Magdalena Frech

Magdalena Frech to win@1.71

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·12 Oct, 06:30

Stefanos Tsitsipas

live

Taylor Fritz

Taylor Fritz to win@1.58

WTA 1000 · Wuhan Open·12 Oct, 07:30

Maria Sakkari

-:-

Donna Vekic

Maria Sakkari to win@1.61

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·12 Oct, 07:45

Daniil Medvedev

-:-

Dalibor Svrcina

Dalibor Svrcina to win@5.70

Hit rate

59.7%

expected 58.3%

Edge

+1.4 pp

95% lower bound of the hit rate: 55.6%, the edge is within noise

Graded

401

238-161-2 · 11 pending

ROI

−7.4%

on 76 picks with odds · max drawdown −12.57 u

Average odds

1.85

singles with odds

Form

streak L1 · best W11, worst L7

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

By sport

NFL & NCAAF51-44-2 · 97 graded

−4.5

54%

Tennis50-44 · 94 graded

−1.7

53%

Baseball49-42 · 91 graded

−1.4

54%

Football51-11 · 62 graded

+16.3

82%

Hockey37-18 · 55 graded

+4.7

67%

Basketball0-2 · 2 graded

−3.2

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result164-103-1 · 268 graded

+1.8

61%

Handicap57-37-1 · 95 graded

−1.8

61%

Totals12-8 · 20 graded

+8.2

60%

Parlays5-11 · 16 graded

+10.4

31%

Team totals0-2 · 2 graded

−45.6

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite139-70-1 · 210 graded

−1.5

67%

Even87-60-1 · 148 graded

+6.4

59%

Underdog7-20 · 27 graded

−9.1

26%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

< 1.508-5 · 13 graded

−16.8%

62%

1.50…1.8920-11 · 31 graded

+8.5%

65%

1.90…2.299-9 · 18 graded

+4.5%

50%

2.30…3.492-8 · 10 graded

−45.9%

20%

3.50+0-0 · 0 graded

Singles with the odds stated in the post. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 2 of 3 months with 5+ picks

August 2026
+3.8 pp
62-42 · 60%
ROI +43.8%
September 2026
−6.3 pp
40-41-1 · 49%
ROI −26.5%
October 2026
+3.1 pp
136-78-1 · 64%
ROI −16.1%

By league

MLB · USA49-3956%−1.3
NFL35-22-261%+0.4
NHL37-1867%+4.7
ATP 100015-1354%−1.8
NCAAF14-2140%−16.8
WTA 100012-571%+13.1
UEFA Nations League14-382%+17.1
ATP 5007-654%−10.4
ATP Challenger5-550%+0.1
US Open4-544%−2.9

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Picks

Singleposted 12 Oct, 07:08 · 37 min before start

odds 5.70Pending

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·12 Oct, 07:45

Daniil Medvedev

-:-

Dalibor Svrcina

Dalibor Svrcina to win@5.70

Singleposted 12 Oct, 02:45 · 1 h before start

Lost

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·12 Oct, 04:10

Learner Tien

0:2

Casper Ruud

Learner Tien to win

Singleposted 12 Oct, 02:45 · 4 h before start

Pending

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·12 Oct, 06:20

Jiri Lehecka

live

Rafael Jodar

Rafael Jodar to win

Singleposted 12 Oct, 02:45 · 5 h before start

Pending

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·12 Oct, 07:45

Daniil Medvedev

-:-

Dalibor Svrcina

Daniil Medvedev to win

Singleposted 12 Oct, 02:45 · 7 h before start

Pending

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·12 Oct, 09:15

Arthur Fils

-:-

Botic van de Zandschulp

Arthur Fils to win

Singleposted 12 Oct, 02:45 · 7 h before start

Pending

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·12 Oct, 10:00

Zizou Bergs

-:-

Carlos Alcaraz

Carlos Alcaraz to win

Singleposted 12 Oct, 02:39 · 2 h before start

odds 1.30Won

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·12 Oct, 04:10

Pablo Carreno Busta

1:2

Felix Auger Aliassime

Felix Auger Aliassime to win@1.30

Singleposted 12 Oct, 02:39 · 4 h before start

odds 1.58Pending

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·12 Oct, 06:30

Stefanos Tsitsipas

live

Taylor Fritz

Taylor Fritz to win@1.58

Singleposted 12 Oct, 02:39 · 30 min before start

odds 1.55Won

WTA 1000 · Wuhan Open·12 Oct, 03:10

Anhelina Kalinina

0:2

Sonay Kartal

Sonay Kartal to win@1.55

Singleposted 12 Oct, 02:39 · 2 h before start

odds 1.33Void

WTA 1000 · Wuhan Open·12 Oct, 04:30

Janice Tjen

void

Oleksandra Oliynykova

Janice Tjen to win@1.33

Singleposted 12 Oct, 02:39 · 4 h before start

odds 1.71Pending

WTA 1000 · Wuhan Open·12 Oct, 06:25

Mananchaya Sawangkaew

live

Magdalena Frech

Magdalena Frech to win@1.71

Singleposted 12 Oct, 02:39 · 2 h before start

odds 1.53Won

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·12 Oct, 04:10

Learner Tien

0:2

Casper Ruud

Casper Ruud to win@1.53

Singleposted 12 Oct, 02:39 · 4 h before start

odds 1.40Pending

WTA 1000 · Wuhan Open·12 Oct, 06:15

Jasmine Paolini

live

Sara Bejlek

Jasmine Paolini to win@1.40

Singleposted 12 Oct, 02:39 · 2 h before start

odds 1.71Void

WTA 1000 · Wuhan Open·12 Oct, 05:00

Clara Tauson

void

Marie Bouzkova

Clara Tauson to win@1.71

Singleposted 12 Oct, 02:25 · 45 min before start

odds 1.87Lost

WTA 1000 · Wuhan Open·12 Oct, 03:10

Ekaterina Alexandrova

1:2

Leylah Fernandez

Ekaterina Alexandrova to win@1.87

Singleposted 12 Oct, 02:25 · 5 h before start

odds 1.61Pending

WTA 1000 · Wuhan Open·12 Oct, 07:30

Maria Sakkari

-:-

Donna Vekic

Maria Sakkari to win@1.61

Singleposted 12 Oct, 02:24 · 9 h before start

odds 1.68Pending

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·12 Oct, 11:30

Tommy Paul

-:-

Valentin Vacherot

Tommy Paul to win@1.68

Singleposted 11 Oct, 19:36 · 2 h before start

Won

NHL · NHL: Regular season·11 Oct, 22:00

New York Rangers

6:2

Vancouver Canucks

Over 6

Singleposted 11 Oct, 19:36 · 3 h before start

Won

NHL · NHL: Regular season·11 Oct, 23:00

Philadelphia Flyers

1:4

Carolina Hurricanes

Under 5.5

Singleposted 11 Oct, 14:47 · 2 h before start

Lost

NFL · Regular Season·11 Oct, 17:00

New York Jets

17:12

Cleveland Browns

Cleveland Browns to win

Singleposted 11 Oct, 05:18 · 12 h before start

Won

NFL · Regular Season·11 Oct, 17:00

New Orleans Saints

13:23

Minnesota Vikings

New Orleans Saints +10.5

Singleposted 11 Oct, 05:18 · 12 h before start

Won

NFL · Regular Season·11 Oct, 17:00

New England Patriots

45:17

Las Vegas Raiders

New England Patriots to win

Singleposted 11 Oct, 05:18 · 12 h before start

Won

NFL · Regular Season·11 Oct, 17:00

Washington Commanders

27:27

New York Giants

Washington Commanders +4.5

Singleposted 11 Oct, 05:18 · 12 h before start

Won

NFL · Regular Season·11 Oct, 17:00

Pittsburgh Steelers

34:22

Indianapolis Colts

Pittsburgh Steelers +3.5

Singleposted 11 Oct, 05:18 · 12 h before start

Won

NFL · Regular Season·11 Oct, 17:00

New York Jets

17:12

Cleveland Browns

Cleveland Browns +10.5

Singleposted 11 Oct, 05:18 · 15 h before start

Won

NFL · Regular Season·11 Oct, 20:05

Los Angeles Chargers

17:23

Denver Broncos

Los Angeles Chargers +10.5

Singleposted 11 Oct, 05:18 · 15 h before start

Won

NFL · Regular Season·11 Oct, 20:25

Arizona Cardinals

21:45

Detroit Lions

Over 40.5

Singleposted 11 Oct, 05:18 · 15 h before start

Won

NFL · Regular Season·11 Oct, 20:25

Seattle Seahawks

29:32

San Francisco 49ers

Seattle Seahawks +4.5

Singleposted 11 Oct, 05:18 · 19 h before start

Won

NFL · Regular Season·12 Oct, 00:20

Atlanta Falcons

23:30

Baltimore Ravens

Baltimore Ravens +10.5

Singleposted 11 Oct, 03:40 · 13 h before start

Won

NFL · Regular Season·11 Oct, 17:00

New Orleans Saints

13:23

Minnesota Vikings

Minnesota Vikings +3.5