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Tipster index61.9#32 on the leaderboarddown 18 this week

Open picks 6

Games not played yet
NFL Β· Regular SeasonΒ·
Dallas Cowboys
-:-
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Dallas Cowboys to win
NFL Β· Regular SeasonΒ·
Jacksonville Jaguars
-:-
Philadelphia Eagles
Jacksonville Jaguars to win
NFL Β· Regular SeasonΒ·
Green Bay Packers
-:-
Chicago Bears
Chicago Bears to win
NFL Β· Regular SeasonΒ·
Pittsburgh Steelers
-:-
Indianapolis Colts
Pittsburgh Steelers to win
NFL Β· Regular SeasonΒ·
New England Patriots
-:-
Las Vegas Raiders
Las Vegas Raiders to win
NFL Β· Regular SeasonΒ·
New York Jets
-:-
Cleveland Browns
New York Jets to win
Hit rate
63.5%
expected 57.0%
Edge
+6.5 pp
hit rate at least 59.0% with 95% confidence: the edge is not luck
Graded
327
207-119-1 Β· 10 pending
ROI
βˆ’4.5%
on 65 picks with odds Β· max drawdown βˆ’6.00 u
Average odds
1.73
singles with odds
Form
streak L2 Β· best W14, worst L4

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

010202 Sept11 Sept20 Sept29 Sept8 Oct

By sport

Tennis58-39 Β· 97 graded
βˆ’0.2
60%
NFL & NCAAF56-27-1 Β· 84 graded
+16.1
67%
Baseball48-31 Β· 79 graded
+5.0
61%
Football29-12 Β· 41 graded
+8.6
71%
Hockey16-9 Β· 25 graded
+3.0
64%
Basketball0-1 Β· 1 graded
βˆ’24.0
0%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result153-88 Β· 241 graded
+4.9
63%
Handicap50-19-1 Β· 70 graded
+13.3
72%
Parlays0-10 Β· 10 graded
βˆ’5.5
0%
Totals3-2 Β· 5 graded
+4.3
60%
Team totals1-0 Β· 1 graded
+57.6
100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite81-36 Β· 117 graded
βˆ’0.2
69%
Even120-67-1 Β· 188 graded
+10.1
64%
Underdog6-6 Β· 12 graded
+24.7
50%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By league

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Picks

Singleposted 7 Oct, 22:48
odds 1.91Won
NCAAF Β· NCAAF: Regular SeasonΒ·
FIU Golden Panthers
22:3
New Mexico State Aggies
Under 46.5@1.91
Singleposted 7 Oct, 21:37
Pending
NFL Β· Regular SeasonΒ·
Dallas Cowboys
-:-
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Dallas Cowboys to win
Singleposted 7 Oct, 21:37
Pending
NFL Β· Regular SeasonΒ·
Jacksonville Jaguars
-:-
Philadelphia Eagles
Jacksonville Jaguars to win
Parlay Β· 2posted 7 Oct, 21:33
Lost
WNBA Β· WNBA: Play-offΒ·
Atlanta Dream
101:98
New York Liberty
New York Liberty +10.5βœ“
MLB Β· post-seasonΒ·
New York Yankees
3:4
Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees to winβœ•
Singleposted 7 Oct, 20:25
Won
ATP Challenger Β· Braga, PortugalΒ·
Miguel Damas
0:2
Matej Dodig
Matej Dodig to win
Singleposted 7 Oct, 20:25
Won
ATP Challenger Β· Braga, PortugalΒ·
Olle Wallin
0:2
Lukas Neumayer
Lukas Neumayer to win
Singleposted 7 Oct, 20:25
Won
ATP Challenger Β· Braga, PortugalΒ·
Oleksii Krutykh
1:2
Luka Mikrut
Luka Mikrut to win
Singleposted 7 Oct, 20:25
Lost
ATP Challenger Β· Braga, PortugalΒ·
Zsombor Piros
1:2
Elmer Moller
Zsombor Piros to win
Singleposted 7 Oct, 20:25
Lost
ATP Challenger Β· Braga, PortugalΒ·
Vilius Gaubas
2:1
Duje Ajdukovic
Duje Ajdukovic to win
Singleposted 7 Oct, 20:25
Won
ATP Challenger Β· Braga, PortugalΒ·
Ryan Nijboer
0:2
Marvin Moeller
Marvin Moeller to win
Singleposted 7 Oct, 19:32
Lost
ATP 1000 Β· Shanghai Rolex MastersΒ·
Jaume Munar
0:2
Jenson Brooksby
Jaume Munar to win
Singleposted 7 Oct, 19:32
Lost
ATP 1000 Β· Shanghai Rolex MastersΒ·
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
2:1
Ilia Simakin
Ilia Simakin to win
Singleposted 7 Oct, 19:32
Lost
WTA 1000 Β· China OpenΒ·
Karolina Muchova
0:2
Nikola Bartunkova
Karolina Muchova to win
Singleposted 7 Oct, 19:32
Won
ATP 1000 Β· Shanghai Rolex MastersΒ·
Marcos Giron
1:2
Sebastian Baez
Sebastian Baez to win
Singleposted 7 Oct, 19:22
odds 2.33Lost
MLB Β· post-seasonΒ·
Atlanta Braves
1:4
Los Angeles Dodgers
Atlanta Braves to win@2.33
Singleposted 7 Oct, 19:22
odds 2.48Won
MLB Β· post-seasonΒ·
New York Yankees
3:4
Tampa Bay Rays
Tampa Bay Rays to win@2.48
Parlay Β· 10posted 7 Oct, 19:21
Lost
NCAAF Β· NCAAF: Regular SeasonΒ·
Kennesaw State Owls
26:27
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
Jacksonville State Gamecocks to winβœ“
MLB Β· post-seasonΒ·
Chicago White Sox
3:9
Cleveland Guardians
Cleveland Guardians +2.5βœ“
MLB Β· post-seasonΒ·
Atlanta Braves
1:4
Los Angeles Dodgers
Atlanta Braves +3.5βœ“
MLB Β· post-seasonΒ·
New York Yankees
3:4
Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees to winβœ•
NHL Β· NHL: Regular seasonΒ·
Washington Capitals
5:3
Pittsburgh Penguins
Washington Capitals to winβœ“
NHL Β· NHL: Regular seasonΒ·
Winnipeg Jets
3:2
Colorado Avalanche
Colorado Avalanche to winβœ•
NHL Β· NHL: Regular seasonΒ·
Anaheim Ducks
2:5
Edmonton Oilers
Edmonton Oilers to winβœ“
WNBA Β· WNBA: Play-offΒ·
Atlanta Dream
101:98
New York Liberty
Atlanta Dream to winβœ“
WNBA Β· WNBA: Play-offΒ·
Golden State Valkyries
83:81
Las Vegas Aces
Las Vegas Aces +4.5βœ“
NCAAF Β· NCAAF: Regular SeasonΒ·
Kennesaw State Owls
26:27
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
Ungraded market?
Singleposted 7 Oct, 19:19
odds 2.10Won
MLB Β· post-seasonΒ·
Chicago White Sox
3:9
Cleveland Guardians
Cleveland Guardians to win@2.10
Singleposted 7 Oct, 19:19
odds 1.61Lost
MLB Β· post-seasonΒ·
New York Yankees
3:4
Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees to win@1.61
Singleposted 7 Oct, 19:19
odds 1.87Lost
MLB Β· post-seasonΒ·
San Diego Padres
1:3
Milwaukee Brewers
San Diego Padres to win@1.87
Singleposted 7 Oct, 19:17
Lost
MLB Β· post-seasonΒ·
Chicago White Sox
3:9
Cleveland Guardians
Chicago White Sox to win
Singleposted 7 Oct, 19:17
Won
MLB Β· post-seasonΒ·
Atlanta Braves
1:4
Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers to win
Singleposted 7 Oct, 19:17
Won
MLB Β· post-seasonΒ·
New York Yankees
3:4
Tampa Bay Rays
Tampa Bay Rays +1.5
Singleposted 7 Oct, 19:17
Won
MLB Β· post-seasonΒ·
San Diego Padres
1:3
Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers to win
Singleposted 7 Oct, 17:12
Pending
NFL Β· Regular SeasonΒ·
Green Bay Packers
-:-
Chicago Bears
Chicago Bears to win
Singleposted 7 Oct, 17:12
Pending
NFL Β· Regular SeasonΒ·
Pittsburgh Steelers
-:-
Indianapolis Colts
Pittsburgh Steelers to win
Singleposted 7 Oct, 17:12
Pending
NFL Β· Regular SeasonΒ·
New England Patriots
-:-
Las Vegas Raiders
Las Vegas Raiders to win
Singleposted 7 Oct, 17:12
Pending
NFL Β· Regular SeasonΒ·
New York Jets
-:-
Cleveland Browns
New York Jets to win
Singleposted 7 Oct, 17:12
Pending
NFL Β· Regular SeasonΒ·
Miami Dolphins
-:-
Cincinnati Bengals
Cincinnati Bengals to win
Singleposted 7 Oct, 17:12
Pending
NFL Β· Regular SeasonΒ·
Washington Commanders
-:-
New York Giants
New York Giants to win