Push
Czech Republic · 2nd league·
Dukla Praha
1:1
SK KladnoOver 2
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Football
Hit rate
42.9%
expected 33.1%
Edge
+9.8 pp
over expectation
Graded
9
3-4-2
ROI
−35.8%
on 5 picks with odds · max drawdown −3.00 u
Average odds
4.07
singles with odds
Form
streak W1 · best W1, worst L2
Wins above expectation
Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.
By sport
Football3-4-2 · 9 graded
+9.843%
Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.
By market
Match result1-3 · 4 graded
−7.825%
Totals1-1-1 · 3 graded
+6.550%
Handicap0-0-1 · 1 graded
0.0-Parlays1-0 · 1 graded
+86.5100%
Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.
Favourites and underdogs
Favourite1-0-2 · 3 graded
+20.8100%
Even1-0 · 1 graded
+52.6100%
Underdog0-4 · 4 graded
−22.90%
Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.
By odds
< 1.501-0 · 1 graded
-100%
1.90…2.291-0 · 1 graded
-100%
3.50+0-3 · 3 graded
-0%
Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).
By month
Hit rate above expectation in 1 of 1 months with 5+ picks- August 2026−39.7 pp0-1 · 0%
- September 2026+19.1 pp2-2-1 · 50%
- October 2026+15.8 pp1-1-1 · 50%
By league
- Champions League1-2-133%−3.4
- Serie A · Italy1-0100%+52.6
- UEFA Nations League0-10%−20.9
- 2nd league · Czech Republic0-0-1-0.0
- EFL Cup · England1-0100%+86.5
- UEFA Super Cup · International0-10%−39.7
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Picks
SK Kladnoodds 2.00DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
Serie A·
Monza
4:0
CagliariOver 2.5
odds 4.40DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 4·
Portugal
2:1
NorwayNorway to win
Push
Champions League · League Stage·
Napoli
0:1
ArsenalArsenal −1
odds 5.25DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
Champions League · League Stage·
Napoli
0:1
ArsenalNapoli to win
Won
EFL Cup · EFL Cup: Round 3·
Chelsea
6:3
Leeds UnitedOver 4.5✓
EFL Cup · EFL Cup: Round 3·
Chelsea
6:3
Leeds UnitedOver 3.5✓
odds 1.21DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
Champions League · League Stage·
VfB Stuttgart
3:1
VikingVfB Stuttgart to win
odds 7.50DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
Champions League · League Stage·
VfB Stuttgart
3:1
VikingDraw
Lost
UEFA Super Cup·
Paris Saint-Germain
2:1
Aston VillaOver 4