Lost
ATP 500 · Erste Bank Open (Vienna)·
Daniil Medvedev
0:2
Carlos Alcaraz
Daniil Medvedev to win
Nate
Analysis | Predictions | News Boxing • Tennis • No hype. Just analysis.👇🏾
TennisFootball
Hit rate
25.0%
expected 49.8%
Edge
−24.8 pp
over expectation
Graded
4
1-3
ROI
-
posts no odds
Average odds
-
singles with odds
Form
streak L3 · best W1, worst L3
Wins above expectation
Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.
By sport
Tennis0-3 · 3 graded
−57.60%
Football1-0 · 1 graded
+73.7100%
Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.
By market
Match result1-3 · 4 graded
−24.825%
Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.
Favourites and underdogs
Favourite0-1 · 1 graded
−75.40%
Even0-2 · 2 graded
−48.70%
Underdog1-0 · 1 graded
+73.7100%
Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.
By month
- September 2026+73.7 pp1-0 · 100%
- October 2026−57.6 pp0-3 · 0%
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Picks
Lost
WTA 500 · Pan Pacific Open (Tokyo)·
Diana Shnaider
2:0
Mia Pohankova
Mia Pohankova to win
Lost
ATP 500 · Swiss Indoors Basel·
Hubert Hurkacz
1:2
Holger Rune
Hubert Hurkacz to win
Won
Japan · J3 League·
Tochigi SC
1:2
Matsumoto YamagaMatsumoto Yamaga to win