odds 1.86DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
Serie A·
Torino
3:2
MonzaOver 2.5
Magic Picks
Asesor en apuestas deportivas
FootballHockeyBaseballNFL & NCAAF
Hit rate
53.7%
expected 48.9%
Edge
+4.8 pp
95% lower bound of the hit rate: 41.1%, the edge is within noise
Graded
42
22-19-1
ROI
−2.4%
on 21 picks with odds · max drawdown −3.34 u
Average odds
1.87
singles with odds
Form
streak W4 · best W4, worst L3
Wins above expectation
Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.
By sport
Football15-17-1 · 33 graded
+0.547%
Hockey5-2 · 7 graded
+14.271%
NFL & NCAAF1-0 · 1 graded
+33.0100%
Baseball1-0 · 1 graded
+47.1100%
Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.
By market
Totals19-11-1 · 31 graded
+10.063%
Parlays1-7 · 8 graded
−17.213%
Team totals1-1 · 2 graded
−6.650%
Match result1-0 · 1 graded
+47.1100%
Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.
Favourites and underdogs
Favourite7-2 · 9 graded
+14.178%
Even12-9-1 · 22 graded
+5.457%
Underdog2-1 · 3 graded
+30.867%
Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.
By odds
1.50…1.897-2 · 9 graded
+40.8%78%
1.90…2.293-3 · 6 graded
−0.8%50%
Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).
By month
Hit rate above expectation in 1 of 1 months with 5+ picks- October 2026+4.8 pp22-19-1 · 54%ROI −2.4%
By league
- NHL5-271%+14.2
- LaLiga · Spain2-250%−1.2
- Liga MX · Mexico2-250%+2.5
- Europa League2-167%+14.2
- Premier League · England1-1-150%−3.7
- Conference League0-30%−53.2
- Serie A · Italy2-0100%+43.1
- MLB · USA1-0100%+47.1
- NFL1-0100%+33.0
- Champions League1-0100%+65.6
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Picks
Monzaodds 2.00DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
Saudi Professional League·
Al Qadsiah
2:3
Al HilalOver 3.5
odds 1.80DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Pittsburgh Penguins
4:0
Florida PanthersOver 6.5
Won
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
St. Louis Blues
6:2
Vegas Golden KnightsOver 6
odds 1.89DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Seattle Kraken
5:3
Utah MammothOver 6.5
Won
Europa League · League Stage·
Beşiktaş
2:2
Crystal PalaceOver 3
odds 2.05DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
Europa League · League Stage·
Hoffenheim
3:0
LyonOver 3.5
odds 2.00DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
Europa League · League Stage·
Lillestroem
0:6
Real SociedadOver 3.5
Lost
Conference League · League Stage·
FC Midtjylland
0:1
St.TruidenOver 3
Lost
Conference League · League Stage·
Trabzonspor
2:0
HeartsTrabzonspor over 2.5
odds 1.95DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
Conference League · League Stage·
Jablonec
0:0
BrightonOver 3.5
odds 2.22Lost
Europa League · League Stage·
Juventus
2:2
RennesJuventus to win✕
Europa League · League Stage·
Dinamo Zagreb
2:4
NEC NijmegenDinamo Zagreb to win✕
odds 1.60DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
Liga MX · Liga MX: Apertura·
Toluca
2:2
TijuanaOver 3.5
Won
Liga MX · Liga MX: Apertura·
Atlas
2:5
CF AmericaCF America over 1.5
Lost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Buffalo Sabres
1:3
Philadelphia FlyersOver 6
Lost
Champions League · League Stage·
Aston Villa
3:1
VikingOver 4↺
Champions League · League Stage·
Inter
1:0
Shakhtar DonetskOver 3.5✕
Champions League · League Stage·
Real Madrid
4:1
RB LeipzigOver 4.5✓
odds 1.95DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Seattle Kraken
4:3
Detroit Red Wingspenalties
Over 6.5
Won
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Vegas Golden Knights
2:6
Tampa Bay LightningOver 6
odds 1.88Won
Champions League · League Stage·
AS Roma
4:0
Slovan BratislavaAS Roma −2.5✓
Champions League · League Stage·
Liverpool
4:3
VillarrealOver 3✓
Won
Champions League · League Stage·
Paris Saint-Germain
4:2
BarcelonaOver 4
odds 2.33Lost
Champions League · League Stage·
Fenerbahçe
2:2
Slavia PragueFenerbahçe to win✕
Champions League · League Stage·
Liverpool
4:3
VillarrealLiverpool to win✓
Won
Libya · Premier League: Group B·
Al Ta'awon SC
2:2
Al-HilalOver 3.5
Lost
Süper Lig·
Trabzonspor
2:0
BeşiktaşOver 3
odds 1.80Won
MLB · post-season·
Cleveland Guardians
1:3
Tampa Bay RaysTampa Bay Rays to win@1.80
Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Las Vegas Raiders
30:33
Buffalo BillsOver 53.5
odds 1.86DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
LaLiga·
Real Madrid
4:1
SevillaOver 3.5
odds 3.36Lost
Serie A·
Fiorentina
1:3
Como 1907Over 2.5✓
Bundesliga·
Borussia M'gladbach
1:2
HoffenheimOver 3.5✕
odds 1.95DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
Liga MX · Liga MX: Apertura·
Toluca
1:1
Atletico de San LuisOver 3.5
odds 3.55Lost
Liga MX · Liga MX: Apertura·
Toluca
1:1
Atletico de San LuisOver 3.5✕
Liga MX · Liga MX: Apertura·
Cruz Azul
5:0
FC JuarezOver 3✓
Won
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Nashville Predators
5:2
St. Louis BluesOver 6