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Krystal 💫💖 ( prediction arc)

@Krystal_xbt110 followersfirst pick 21 Octusually posts 2 h before start

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Basketball
CompareRSS
Tipster index32.4#662 on the leaderboardnewdeveloping sample
Hit rate
22.2%
expected 45.7%
Edge
−23.5 pp
hit rate at most 41.2% with 95% confidence: below expectation beyond noise
Graded
18
4-14
ROI
-
on 4 picks with odds
Average odds
1.45
singles with odds
Form
streak L7 · best W2, worst L7

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-6-4-2021 Oct22 Oct23 Oct24 Oct25 Oct

By sport

Basketball4-14 · 18 graded
−23.5
22%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Parlays2-9 · 11 graded
−17.9
18%
Match result2-2 · 4 graded
−16.8
50%
Handicap0-3 · 3 graded
−52.9
0%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite1-2 · 3 graded
−36.7
33%
Even1-3 · 4 graded
−29.0
25%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

< 1.501-1 · 2 graded
-
50%
1.50…1.891-1 · 2 graded
-
50%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 0 of 1 months with 5+ picks
  • October 2026
    −23.5 pp
    4-14 · 22%

By league

  • NBA4-1422%−23.5

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Krystal 💫💖 ( prediction arc) (@Krystal_xbt) on BetBuddyRank
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Picks

Singleposted 25 Oct, 22:06 · 1 h before start
Lost
NBA · Regular season·
Philadelphia 76ers
93:106
Detroit Pistons
Philadelphia 76ers −2.5
Open on Xexpected 54% by model
Same-game combo · 2posted 25 Oct, 22:06 · 1 h before start
Lost
NBA · Regular season·
Philadelphia 76ers
93:106
Detroit Pistons
Philadelphia 76ers to win✕
NBA · Regular season·
Philadelphia 76ers
93:106
Detroit Pistons
Detroit Pistons +2.5✓
Open on Xexpected 30% by model
Singleposted 25 Oct, 21:28 · 2 h before start
Lost
NBA · Regular season·
New York Knicks
102:111
Orlando Magic
New York Knicks −7.5
Open on Xexpected 53% by model
Singleposted 25 Oct, 21:28 · 2 h before start
odds 1.37DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NBA · Regular season·
New York Knicks
102:111
Orlando Magic
New York Knicks to win
Open on Xexpected 70% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 25 Oct, 20:38 · 2 h before start
Lost
NBA · Regular season·
Oklahoma City Thunder
108:101
LA Clippers
Oklahoma City Thunder −15.5
Open on Xexpected 51% by model
Same-game combo · 2posted 24 Oct, 23:28 · 2 h before start
Lost
NBA · Regular season·
Dallas Mavericks
106:122
San Antonio Spurs
San Antonio Spurs to win✓
NBA · Regular season·
Dallas Mavericks
106:122
San Antonio Spurs
Dallas Mavericks +12.5✕
Open on Xexpected 47% by model
Same-game combo · 2posted 24 Oct, 19:19 · 4 h before start
Won
NBA · Regular season·
Philadelphia 76ers
127:116
Milwaukee Bucks
Philadelphia 76ers to win✓
NBA · Regular season·
Philadelphia 76ers
127:116
Milwaukee Bucks
Milwaukee Bucks +12.5✓
Open on Xexpected 41% by model
Same-game combo · 2posted 24 Oct, 16:19 · 10 h before start
Lost
NBA · Regular season·
Phoenix Suns
131:122
Golden State Warriors
Phoenix Suns to win✓
NBA · Regular season·
Phoenix Suns
131:122
Golden State Warriors
Phoenix Suns −9.5✕
Open on Xexpected 40% by model
Same-game combo · 2posted 24 Oct, 01:31 · 29 min before start
Lost
NBA · Regular season·
Golden State Warriors
108:111
Memphis Grizzlies
Golden State Warriors to win✕
NBA · Regular season·
Golden State Warriors
108:111
Memphis Grizzlies
Golden State Warriors −5.5✕
Open on Xexpected 32% by model
Same-game combo · 2posted 24 Oct, 01:06 · 54 min before start
Won
NBA · Regular season·
LA Lakers
125:117
LA Clippers
LA Lakers to win✓
NBA · Regular season·
LA Lakers
125:117
LA Clippers
LA Lakers −2.5✓
Open on Xexpected 41% by model
Same-game combo · 2posted 24 Oct, 00:03 · 1 h before start
Lost
NBA · Regular season·
San Antonio Spurs
110:114
Houston Rockets
San Antonio Spurs to win✕
NBA · Regular season·
San Antonio Spurs
110:114
Houston Rockets
San Antonio Spurs −2.5✕
Open on Xexpected 34% by model
Singleposted 24 Oct, 00:03 · 1 h before start
odds 1.54DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NBA · Regular season·
San Antonio Spurs
110:114
Houston Rockets
San Antonio Spurs to win
Open on Xexpected 62% from the closing line−1.00 u
Same-game combo · 2posted 23 Oct, 19:26 · 4 h before start
Lost
NBA · Regular season·
Boston Celtics
107:103
New York Knicks
Boston Celtics to win✓
NBA · Regular season·
Boston Celtics
107:103
New York Knicks
New York Knicks +2.5✕
Open on Xexpected 28% by model
Singleposted 23 Oct, 19:26 · 4 h before start
odds 1.67DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NBA · Regular season·
Boston Celtics
107:103
New York Knicks
Boston Celtics to win
Open on Xexpected 57% from the closing line+0.67 u
Same-game combo · 2posted 23 Oct, 18:10 · 2 h before start
Lost
NBA · Regular season·
Milwaukee Bucks
125:132
Chicago Bulls
Milwaukee Bucks to win✕
NBA · Regular season·
Milwaukee Bucks
125:132
Chicago Bulls
Milwaukee Bucks −1.5✕
Open on Xexpected 25% by model
Same-game combo · 2posted 23 Oct, 01:01 · 28 min before start
Lost
NBA · Regular season·
Oklahoma City Thunder
96:84
Denver Nuggets
Oklahoma City Thunder to win✓
NBA · Regular season·
Oklahoma City Thunder
96:84
Denver Nuggets
Denver Nuggets +8.5✕
Open on Xexpected 39% by model
Same-game combo · 2posted 22 Oct, 13:14 · 10 h before start
Lost
NBA · Regular season·
Philadelphia 76ers
114:106
Cleveland Cavaliers
Cleveland Cavaliers +3.5✕
NBA · Regular season·
Philadelphia 76ers
114:106
Cleveland Cavaliers
Under 235.5✓
Open on Xexpected 41% by model
Singleposted 21 Oct, 22:08 · 2 h before start
odds 1.23DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NBA · Regular season·
Houston Rockets
128:110
Dallas Mavericks
Houston Rockets to win
Open on Xexpected 78% from the closing line+0.23 u