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Jason Adrème

@JasonAdreme28 followersfirst pick 19 Octusually posts 2 h before start

Livin’ on a prayer 🌴 https://t.co/y7d3CgRuUb

HockeyTennisBasketballNFL & NCAAF
Tipster index51.7#367 on the leaderboardup 65 this weekdeveloping sample

Open picks 1

Games not played yet
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Florida Panthers
-:-
Detroit Red Wings
Over 4.5 +3
Hit rate
53.8%
expected 51.1%
Edge
+2.7 pp
95% lower bound of the hit rate: 32.5%, the edge is within noise
Graded
13
7-6 · 1 pending
ROI
+16.0%
on 5 picks with odds · max drawdown −1.00 u
Average odds
1.50
singles with odds
Form
streak W2 · best W3, worst L2

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-1-0.5019 Oct21 Oct23 Oct25 Oct28 Oct

By sport

Hockey2-2 · 4 graded
+7.8
50%
Tennis1-3 · 4 graded
−20.8
25%
Basketball3-0 · 3 graded
+34.5
100%
NFL & NCAAF1-1 · 2 graded
−7.9
50%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result4-2 · 6 graded
0.0
67%
Parlays1-4 · 5 graded
−12.1
20%
Handicap2-0 · 2 graded
+48.0
100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite3-1 · 4 graded
+4.0
75%
Even3-1 · 4 graded
+20.1
75%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

< 1.502-0 · 2 graded
-
100%
1.50…1.892-1 · 3 graded
-
67%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 1 of 1 months with 5+ picks
  • October 2026
    +2.7 pp
    7-6 · 54%
    ROI +16.0%

By league

  • NBA3-0100%+34.5
  • NFL1-150%−7.9
  • ATP 2501-150%−14.3
  • NHL1-0100%+36.9

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Picks

Parlay · 4posted 2 Nov, 02:55 · 21 h before start
Pending
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Florida Panthers
-:-
Detroit Red Wings
Over 4.5◷
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Boston Bruins
-:-
Vegas Golden Knights
Boston Bruins +2.5◷
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Chicago Blackhawks
-:-
Colorado Avalanche
Colorado Avalanche +2.5◷
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
San Jose Sharks
-:-
Calgary Flames
Over 4.5◷
Open on Xexpected 62% by model
Singleposted 27 Oct, 12:22 · 15 h before start
Won
NBA · Regular season·
LA Lakers
129:136
Portland Trail Blazers
LA Lakers +8.5
Open on Xexpected 53% by model
Singleposted 25 Oct, 12:48 · 4 h before start
odds 1.70DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NFL · Regular Season·
Atlanta Falcons
29:20
San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco 49ers to win
Open on Xexpected 56% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 25 Oct, 12:22 · 1 h before start
odds 1.61DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NFL · Regular Season·
New Orleans Saints
10:16
Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh Steelers to win
Open on Xexpected 59% from the closing line+0.61 u
Parlay · 2posted 25 Oct, 12:11 · 2 h before start
Lost
ATP 250 · Lyon Open·
Lorenzo Musetti
2:0
Taylor Fritz
Taylor Fritz to win✕
ATP 250 · European Open (Antwerp)·
Jan-Lennard Struff
1:2
Tallon Griekspoor
Tallon Griekspoor to win✓
Open on Xexpected 32% by model
Singleposted 25 Oct, 11:16 · 10 h before start
odds 1.40DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NBA · Regular season·
Utah Jazz
123:132
LA Lakers
LA Lakers to win
Open on Xexpected 69% from the closing line+0.40 u
Parlay · 2posted 24 Oct, 23:13 · 2 h before start
Won
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Utah Mammoth
5:4
Tampa Bay Lightning
Utah Mammoth to win✓
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Seattle Kraken
1:5
Minnesota Wild
Minnesota Wild to win✓
Open on Xexpected 36% by model
Singleposted 24 Oct, 23:13 · 3 h before start
odds 1.52DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Seattle Kraken
1:5
Minnesota Wild
Minnesota Wild to win
Open on Xexpected 63% from the closing line+0.52 u
Parlay · 3posted 24 Oct, 13:13 · 52 min before start
Lost
ATP 250 · European Open (Antwerp)·
Francisco Cerundolo
1:2
Tallon Griekspoor
Over 20.5 games✓
ATP 250 · European Open (Antwerp)·
Arthur Fils
1:2
Jan-Lennard Struff
Arthur Fils to win✕
ATP 250 · Lyon Open·
Flavio Cobolli
1:2
Lorenzo Musetti
Flavio Cobolli +1.5 sets✓
Open on Xexpected 22% by model
Singleposted 24 Oct, 12:44 · 4 h before start
Lost
ATP 250 · European Open (Antwerp)·
Arthur Fils
1:2
Jan-Lennard Struff
Arthur Fils to win
Open on Xexpected 77% by model
Singleposted 24 Oct, 12:44 · 1 h before start
Won
ATP 250 · Lyon Open·
Flavio Cobolli
1:2
Lorenzo Musetti
Flavio Cobolli +1.5 sets
Open on Xexpected 51% by model
Singleposted 24 Oct, 12:44 · 30 min before start
Void
ATP 250 · Almaty Open·
Daniil Medvedev
void
Alexander Bublik
Over 19.5 games
Open on Xexpected 63% by model
Singleposted 24 Oct, 01:51 · 9 min before start
odds 1.27DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NBA · Regular season·
LA Lakers
125:117
LA Clippers
LA Lakers to win
Open on Xexpected 75% from the closing line+0.27 u
Parlay · 3posted 20 Oct, 22:44 · 16 min before start
Lost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Washington Capitals
2:5
Los Angeles Kings
Washington Capitals to win✕
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
New York Islanders
3:2
Anaheim Ducks
New York Islanders to win✓
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Vancouver Canucks
3:6
Carolina Hurricanes
Carolina Hurricanes to win✓
Open on Xexpected 25% by model
Parlay · 2posted 19 Oct, 21:35 · 1 h before start
Lost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Philadelphia Flyers
3:2
Colorado Avalanche
Colorado Avalanche to win✕
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Utah Mammoth
5:4
Pittsburgh Penguins
Over 5.5✓
Open on Xexpected 45% by model