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Roman

@HauserBetsGoing48 followersfirst pick 13 Septusually posts 5 h before start

🎯 Parlay Specialist | Sports Analysis 📈 Data-driven picks, trends & matchup breakdowns🏀🏈⚾ 💰Free POD Record: 65-37 🌟VIP POD just follow & Dm

NFL & NCAAFBasketballHockey
CompareRSS
Tipster index27.6#620 on the leaderboarddown 53 this weekdeveloping sample
Hit rate
38.3%
expected 56.7%
Edge
−18.4 pp
hit rate at most 50.3% with 95% confidence: below expectation beyond noise
Graded
48
18-29-1
ROI
−41.1%
on 34 picks with odds · max drawdown −13.97 u
Average odds
1.83
singles with odds
Form
streak L2 · best W4, worst L6

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-10-7.5-5-2.5012 Sept22 Sept2 Oct12 Oct21 Oct

By sport

NFL & NCAAF18-25-1 · 44 graded
−15.7
42%
Hockey0-2 · 2 graded
−50.4
0%
Basketball0-2 · 2 graded
−45.1
0%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result12-19 · 31 graded
−15.8
39%
Handicap6-7-1 · 14 graded
−20.7
46%
Parlays0-3 · 3 graded
−35.1
0%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite9-11-1 · 21 graded
−22.3
45%
Even9-12 · 21 graded
−10.3
43%
Underdog0-3 · 3 graded
−32.4
0%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

< 1.502-3 · 5 graded
−44.2%
40%
1.50…1.898-9 · 17 graded
−21.6%
47%
1.90…2.292-4 · 6 graded
−35.0%
33%
2.30…3.490-2 · 2 graded
-
0%
3.50+0-1 · 1 graded
-
0%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 0 of 2 months with 5+ picks
  • September 2026
    −23.7 pp
    6-14 · 30%
    ROI −65.7%
  • October 2026
    −14.4 pp
    12-15-1 · 44%
    ROI −13.4%

By league

  • NCAAF8-1436%−23.0
  • NFL10-9-153%−4.8
  • NHL0-20%−50.4
  • WNBA0-10%−61.0

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Same main sport, closest index

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Picks

Parlay · 2posted 21 Oct, 20:51 · 2 h before start
odds 3.11Lost
NBA · Regular season·
Washington Wizards
128:116
Milwaukee Bucks
Washington Wizards to win✓
NBA · Regular season·
Brooklyn Nets
103:110
Charlotte Hornets
Brooklyn Nets to win✕
Open on Xexpected 29% from odds−1.00 u
Parlay · 2posted 20 Oct, 16:27 · 7 h before start
odds 2.50Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Delaware Blue Hens
61:38
Missouri State Bears
Missouri State Bears +6.5✕
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Marshall Thundering Herd
20:13
South Alabama Jaguars
South Alabama Jaguars to win✕
Open on Xexpected 36% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 18 Oct, 16:50 · 10 min before start
Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Cleveland Browns
13:10
Baltimore Ravens
Cleveland Browns +7.5
Open on Xexpected 70% by model
Singleposted 18 Oct, 16:47 · 12 min before start
odds 1.74DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NFL · Regular Season·
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
19:26
Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh Steelers to win
Open on Xexpected 55% from the closing line+0.74 u
Singleposted 17 Oct, 18:38 · 52 min before start
Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Michigan Wolverines
21:18
Penn State Nittany Lions
Penn State Nittany Lions +7.5
Open on Xexpected 70% by model
Singleposted 17 Oct, 18:17 · 1 h before start
Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Ole Miss Rebels
31:3
Missouri Tigers
Missouri Tigers +6.5
Open on Xexpected 70% by model
Singleposted 16 Oct, 17:02 · 7 h before start
odds 1.92DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
32:35
Appalachian State Mountaineers
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers to win
Open on Xexpected 50% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 16 Oct, 16:59 · 7 h before start
odds 1.64DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Purdue Boilermakers
26:38
Washington Huskies
Purdue Boilermakers to win
Open on Xexpected 58% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 15 Oct, 23:29 · 45 min before start
Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Denver Broncos
17:14
Seattle Seahawks
Seattle Seahawks −2.5
Open on Xexpected 44% by model
Singleposted 15 Oct, 23:01 · 29 min before start
Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Old Dominion Monarchs
15:23
Georgia Southern Eagles
Old Dominion Monarchs +7.5
Open on Xexpected 70% by model
Singleposted 14 Oct, 22:10 · 1 h before start
odds 1.74DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Missouri State Bears
24:21
Kennesaw State Owls
Kennesaw State Owls to win
Open on Xexpected 55% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 13 Oct, 22:36 · 24 min before start
Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders
33:30
Delaware Blue Hens
Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders +6.5
Open on Xexpected 70% by model
Singleposted 13 Oct, 17:17 · 7 h before start
odds 1.70DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
27:24
FIU Golden Panthers
Jacksonville State Gamecocks to win
Open on Xexpected 56% from the closing line+0.70 u
Singleposted 11 Oct, 16:21 · 39 min before start
Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
New England Patriots
45:17
Las Vegas Raiders
Las Vegas Raiders +6
Open on Xexpected 70% by model
Singleposted 11 Oct, 16:18 · 42 min before start
Push
NFL · Regular Season·
New York Jets
17:12
Cleveland Browns
Cleveland Browns +5
Open on Xexpected 70% by model
Singleposted 11 Oct, 16:15 · 44 min before start
odds 1.61DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NFL · Regular Season·
Pittsburgh Steelers
34:22
Indianapolis Colts
Pittsburgh Steelers to win
Open on Xexpected 59% from the closing line+0.61 u
Singleposted 10 Oct, 23:33 · 17 h before start
odds 1.74DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NFL · Regular Season·
New Orleans Saints
13:23
Minnesota Vikings
Minnesota Vikings to win
Open on Xexpected 55% from the closing line+0.74 u
Singleposted 9 Oct, 22:29 · 3 h before start
Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Washington Huskies
24:41
Iowa Hawkeyes
Iowa Hawkeyes +7.5
Open on Xexpected 70% by model
Singleposted 9 Oct, 22:27 · 32 min before start
Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Louisville Cardinals
44:20
Florida State Seminoles
Florida State Seminoles +9.5
Open on Xexpected 69% by model
Singleposted 5 Oct, 16:55 · 7 h before start
odds 1.95DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NFL · Regular Season·
New Orleans Saints
24:45
Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta Falcons to win
Open on Xexpected 49% from the closing line+0.95 u
Singleposted 4 Oct, 16:47 · 12 min before start
odds 1.50DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NFL · Regular Season·
Philadelphia Eagles
20:24
Los Angeles Rams
Los Angeles Rams to win
Open on Xexpected 64% from the closing line+0.50 u
Singleposted 4 Oct, 16:46 · 14 min before start
odds 1.67DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NFL · Regular Season·
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
14:17
Green Bay Packers
Green Bay Packers to win
Open on Xexpected 57% from the closing line+0.67 u
Singleposted 4 Oct, 16:44 · 16 min before start
odds 1.76DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NFL · Regular Season·
New York Giants
36:24
Arizona Cardinals
Arizona Cardinals to win
Open on Xexpected 54% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 3 Oct, 09:56 · 6 h before start
Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Mississippi State Bulldogs
23:56
Alabama Crimson Tide
Mississippi State Bulldogs +9.5
Open on Xexpected 69% by model
Singleposted 3 Oct, 08:43 · 11 h before start
odds 1.45DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Missouri Tigers
45:17
Florida Gators
Florida Gators to win
Open on Xexpected 66% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 3 Oct, 08:37 · 11 h before start
Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Tennessee Volunteers
24:14
Auburn Tigers
Auburn Tigers +8.5
Open on Xexpected 69% by model
Singleposted 2 Oct, 15:34 · 8 h before start
odds 1.67DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Northwestern Wildcats
34:13
Penn State Nittany Lions
Penn State Nittany Lions to win
Open on Xexpected 57% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 2 Oct, 15:30 · 7 h before start
odds 1.95DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Virginia Tech Hokies
33:35
Pittsburgh Panthers
Pittsburgh Panthers to win
Open on Xexpected 49% from the closing line+0.95 u
Singleposted 30 Sept, 22:04 · 1 h before start
odds 2.20DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Toronto Maple Leafs
2:1
New York Islanders
New York Islanders to win
Open on Xexpected 44% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 30 Sept, 22:04 · 1 h before start
odds 1.67DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Philadelphia Flyers
0:7
Pittsburgh Penguins
Philadelphia Flyers to win
Open on Xexpected 57% from the closing line−1.00 u