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Green Lima

@GreenLimaa142 followersfirst pick 20 Augusually posts 4 h before start

Lima es una fanática de las apuestas. | Realista y siempre buscando el verde. 🐱 | NO tipster. | gratis para el pueblo.

TennisBaseballNFL & NCAAFFootballBasketballHockey🥇 Tipster of the month: September 2026
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Tipster index96.8#1 on the leaderboardestablished sample

Deleted picks

After posting, the author deleted 9 picks from X: 3 lost, 6 won. Deleted before kick-off: 2 picks.

Deleted picks stay in the stats: the index and hit rate include them. How we check

Open picks 2

Games not played yet
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
New York Islanders
-:-
Vancouver Canucks
Over 5.5
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Dallas Stars
-:-
Colorado Avalanche
Dallas Stars to win@1.85DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use it
Hit rate
88.7%
expected 60.3%
Edge
+28.4 pp
hit rate at least 83.6% with 95% confidence: the edge is not luck
Graded
143
126-16-1 · 2 pending
ROI
+57.3%
on 53 picks with odds · max drawdown −2.00 u
Average odds
1.74
singles with odds
Form
streak W9 · best W22, worst L2

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

0204019 Aug2 Sept16 Sept30 Sept13 Oct

By sport

Tennis44-5 · 49 graded
+28.4
90%
Baseball34-3-1 · 38 graded
+36.0
92%
NFL & NCAAF23-2 · 25 graded
+30.1
92%
Football14-2 · 16 graded
+24.6
87%
Basketball8-3 · 11 graded
+14.2
73%
Hockey3-1 · 4 graded
−0.5
75%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result82-10 · 92 graded
+28.5
89%
Handicap23-2-1 · 26 graded
+31.4
92%
Totals12-3 · 15 graded
+25.5
80%
Parlays6-1 · 7 graded
+22.4
86%
Both teams to score2-0 · 2 graded
+35.9
100%
Double chance1-0 · 1 graded
+14.5
100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite71-3 · 74 graded
+26.7
96%
Even46-8-1 · 55 graded
+33.0
85%
Underdog3-4 · 7 graded
+15.3
43%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

< 1.5011-2 · 13 graded
+9.0%
85%
1.50…1.8931-2 · 33 graded
+59.6%
94%
1.90…2.295-0 · 5 graded
+99.8%
100%
2.30…3.490-1 · 1 graded
-
0%
3.50+1-0 · 1 graded
-
100%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 2 of 2 months with 5+ picks
  • August 2026
    +41.2 pp
    4-0 · 100%
  • September 2026
    +28.7 pp
    97-12-1 · 89%
    ROI +60.9%
  • October 2026
    +25.2 pp
    25-4 · 86%
    ROI +22.3%

By league

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Picks

Singleposted 13 Oct, 21:17 · 3 h before start
odds 1.85DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itPending
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Dallas Stars
-:-
Colorado Avalanche
Dallas Stars to win
Open on Xexpected 52% from the closing line
Singleposted 13 Oct, 21:17 · 2 h before start
Pending
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
New York Islanders
-:-
Vancouver Canucks
Over 5.5
Open on Xexpected 71% by model
Singleposted 13 Oct, 13:46 · 1 h before start
Won
ATP Challenger · Olbia, Italy·
Luca Nardi
2:1
August Holmgren
Luca Nardi to win
Open on Xexpected 43% by model
Same-game combo · 2posted 13 Oct, 13:39 · 5 h before start
Won
Champions League · League Stage·
Galatasaray
1:4
Barcelona
Barcelona to win✓
Champions League · League Stage·
Galatasaray
1:4
Barcelona
Under 5.5✓
Open on Xexpected 65% by model
Singleposted 13 Oct, 12:11 · 7 h before start
Won
Champions League · League Stage·
Galatasaray
1:4
Barcelona
Both teams to score: yes
Open on Xexpected 63% by model
Singleposted 13 Oct, 01:09 · 51 min before start
odds 1.29Won
Mexico · LNBP: Play-off·
Dorados de Chihuahua
88:87
Gambusinos
Dorados de Chihuahua to win@1.29
Open on Xexpected 74% from odds+0.29 u
Singleposted 12 Oct, 23:09 · 7 h before start
Won
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Arthur Gea
2:0
Jakub Mensik
Over 21.5 games
Open on Xexpected 55% by model
Singleposted 12 Oct, 23:02 · 1 h before start
Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Los Angeles Rams
34:37
Buffalo Bills
Los Angeles Rams +3.5
Open on Xexpected 62% by model
Singleposted 12 Oct, 04:45 · 8 h before start
DeletedLost
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Tommy Paul
2:0
Valentin Vacherot
Valentin Vacherot to win
Open on Xexpected 43% by model
Singleposted 12 Oct, 04:45 · 5 h before start
DeletedWon
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Daniil Medvedev
2:0
Dalibor Svrcina
Daniil Medvedev to win
Open on Xexpected 72% by model
Singleposted 12 Oct, 04:45 · 6 h before start
DeletedWon
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Arthur Fils
0:2
Botic van de Zandschulp
Botic van de Zandschulp to win
Open on Xexpected 36% by model
Singleposted 12 Oct, 04:45 · 23 h before start
Won
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Alex de Minaur
2:0
Karen Khachanov
Alex de Minaur to win
Open on Xexpected 70% by model
Singleposted 12 Oct, 04:45 · 3 h before start
DeletedWon
WTA 1000 · Wuhan Open·
Caty McNally
2:1
Yulia Starodubtsewa
Caty McNally to win
Open on Xexpected 66% by model
Singleposted 12 Oct, 04:45 · 8 h before start
DeletedLost
WTA 1000 · Wuhan Open·
Alexandra Eala
1:2
Han Shi
Alexandra Eala to win
Open on Xexpected 70% by model
Singleposted 12 Oct, 04:45 · 28 h before start
Deleted before kick-offWon
WTA 1000 · Wuhan Open·
Daria Kasatkina
0:2
Jelena Ostapenko
Jelena Ostapenko to win
Open on Xexpected 60% by model
Singleposted 12 Oct, 04:45 · 22 h before start
Deleted before kick-offWon
WTA 1000 · Wuhan Open·
Dayana Yastremska
2:1
Cristina Bucsa
Dayana Yastremska to win
Open on Xexpected 50% by model
Singleposted 12 Oct, 00:07 · 13 min before start
Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Atlanta Falcons
23:30
Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore Ravens +10.5
Open on Xexpected 71% by model
Singleposted 11 Oct, 19:17 · 11 h before start
DeletedLost
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Jiri Lehecka
1:2
Rafael Jodar
Jiri Lehecka to win
Open on Xexpected 52% by model
Singleposted 11 Oct, 19:15 · 2 h before start
odds 1.48DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Washington Capitals
3:5
Seattle Kraken
Washington Capitals to win
Open on Xexpected 65% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 11 Oct, 19:15 · 3 h before start
Won
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
New York Rangers
6:2
Vancouver Canucks
New York Rangers +1.5
Open on Xexpected 96% by model
Singleposted 11 Oct, 19:15 · 4 h before start
odds 1.43DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Philadelphia Flyers
1:4
Carolina Hurricanes
Carolina Hurricanes to win
Open on Xexpected 67% from the closing line+0.43 u
Singleposted 11 Oct, 18:31 · 2 h before start
Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Arizona Cardinals
21:45
Detroit Lions
Detroit Lions +1.5
Open on Xexpected 62% by model
Parlay · 2posted 11 Oct, 06:07 · 8 h before start
Won
Mexico · LNBP: Play-off·
Dorados de Chihuahua
98:83
Gambusinos
Dorados de Chihuahua to win✓
Italy · Lega Basket Serie A·
Olimpia Milano
106:77
Universo Treviso Basket
Olimpia Milano to win✓
Open on Xexpected 40% by model
Singleposted 9 Oct, 23:36 · 3 h before start
Won
Liga MX · Liga MX: Apertura·
Tigres
3:2
Toluca
Both teams to score: yes
Open on Xexpected 65% by model
Singleposted 9 Oct, 20:20 · 3 h before start
Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Louisville Cardinals
44:20
Florida State Seminoles
Louisville Cardinals −2.5
Open on Xexpected 42% by model
Singleposted 8 Oct, 03:51 · 19 min before start
Won
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Kimmer Coppejans
0:2
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Kimmer Coppejans +5.5
Open on Xexpected 64% by model
Parlay · 2posted 5 Oct, 20:17 · 3 h before start
DeletedWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Pittsburgh Penguins
2:3
Winnipeg Jets
Under 7.5✓
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Boston Bruins
1:4
Ottawa Senators
Over 4.5✓
Open on Xexpected 75% by model
Singleposted 5 Oct, 19:37 · 1 h before start
Deletedodds 1.83DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
MLB · post-season·
Cleveland Guardians
3:4
Chicago White Sox
Over 6.5
Open on Xexpected 52% from the closing line+0.83 u
Singleposted 5 Oct, 04:17 · 3 h before start
DeletedWon
ATP 500 · Japan Open (Tokyo)·
Carlos Alcaraz
2:1
Jaume Munar
Jaume Munar +6.5
Open on Xexpected 77% by model
Singleposted 1 Oct, 22:01 · 12 h before start
Won
ATP 500 · Japan Open (Tokyo)·
Arthur Fils
2:0
Frances Tiafoe
Arthur Fils to win
Open on Xexpected 57% by model