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Garfield Picks

@GarfieldPickss137 followersfirst pick 20 Augusually posts 4 h before start

Garfield es un fanático de las apuestas. | Realista y siempre buscando el verde. 🐱 | NO tipster. | gratis para el pueblo.

TennisBaseballNFL & NCAAFFootballBasketballHockey🥇 Tipster of the month: September 2026
Tipster index99.0#1 on the leaderboardestablished sample

Open picks 6

Games not played yet
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Jiri Lehecka
live
Rafael Jodar
Jiri Lehecka to win
WTA 1000 · Wuhan Open·
Caty McNally
-:-
Yulia Starodubtsewa
Caty McNally to win
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Daniil Medvedev
-:-
Dalibor Svrcina
Daniil Medvedev to win
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Arthur Fils
-:-
Botic van de Zandschulp
Botic van de Zandschulp to win
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Tommy Paul
-:-
Valentin Vacherot
Valentin Vacherot to win
WTA 1000 · Wuhan Open·
Alexandra Eala
-:-
Han Shi
Alexandra Eala to win
Hit rate
89.7%
expected 59.0%
Edge
+30.7 pp
hit rate at least 84.4% with 95% confidence: the edge is not luck
Graded
128
114-13-1 · 9 pending
ROI
-
posts no odds
Average odds
-
singles with odds
Form
streak W4 · best W22, worst L2

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

010203019 Aug2 Sept15 Sept28 Sept12 Oct

By sport

Tennis36-2 · 38 graded
+30.7
95%
Baseball34-3-1 · 38 graded
+36.2
92%
NFL & NCAAF22-2 · 24 graded
+31.9
92%
Football12-2 · 14 graded
+30.9
85%
Basketball7-3 · 10 graded
+16.3
70%
Hockey3-1 · 4 graded
+7.6
75%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result74-7 · 81 graded
+31.3
91%
Handicap22-2-1 · 25 graded
+32.9
91%
Totals11-3 · 14 graded
+21.7
79%
Parlays5-1 · 6 graded
+36.0
83%
Double chance1-0 · 1 graded
+14.9
100%
Both teams to score1-0 · 1 graded
+35.4
100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite63-1-1 · 65 graded
+30.1
98%
Even41-6 · 47 graded
+33.5
87%
Underdog5-5 · 10 graded
+18.0
50%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 2 of 2 months with 5+ picks
  • August 2026
    +40.0 pp
    4-0 · 100%
  • September 2026
    +30.5 pp
    97-12-1 · 89%
  • October 2026
    +29.8 pp
    13-1 · 93%

By league

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Picks

Singleposted 12 Oct, 04:45 · 7 h before start
Pending
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Tommy Paul
-:-
Valentin Vacherot
Valentin Vacherot to win
Open on Xexpected 43% by model
Singleposted 12 Oct, 04:45 · 4 h before start
Pending
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Daniil Medvedev
-:-
Dalibor Svrcina
Daniil Medvedev to win
Open on Xexpected 74% by model
Singleposted 12 Oct, 04:45 · 5 h before start
Pending
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Arthur Fils
-:-
Botic van de Zandschulp
Botic van de Zandschulp to win
Open on Xexpected 36% by model
Singleposted 12 Oct, 04:45 · 23 h before start
Pending
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Alex de Minaur
-:-
Karen Khachanov
Alex de Minaur to win
Open on Xexpected 72% by model
Singleposted 12 Oct, 04:45 · 3 h before start
Pending
WTA 1000 · Wuhan Open·
Caty McNally
-:-
Yulia Starodubtsewa
Caty McNally to win
Open on Xexpected 68% by model
Singleposted 12 Oct, 04:45 · 8 h before start
Pending
WTA 1000 · Wuhan Open·
Alexandra Eala
-:-
Han Shi
Alexandra Eala to win
Open on Xexpected 71% by model
Singleposted 12 Oct, 04:45 · 21 h before start
Pending
WTA 1000 · Wuhan Open·
Daria Kasatkina
-:-
Jelena Ostapenko
Jelena Ostapenko to win
Open on Xexpected 62% by model
Singleposted 12 Oct, 04:45 · 21 h before start
Pending
WTA 1000 · Wuhan Open·
Dayana Yastremska
-:-
Cristina Bucsa
Dayana Yastremska to win
Open on Xexpected 50% by model
Singleposted 12 Oct, 00:07 · 13 min before start
Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Atlanta Falcons
23:30
Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore Ravens +10.5
Open on Xexpected 73% by model
Singleposted 11 Oct, 19:17 · 11 h before start
Pending
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Jiri Lehecka
live
Rafael Jodar
Jiri Lehecka to win
Open on Xexpected 51% by model
Singleposted 11 Oct, 19:15 · 2 h before start
Lost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Washington Capitals
3:5
Seattle Kraken
Washington Capitals to win
Open on Xexpected 59% by model
Singleposted 11 Oct, 19:15 · 3 h before start
Won
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
New York Rangers
6:2
Vancouver Canucks
New York Rangers +1.5
Open on Xexpected 81% by model
Singleposted 11 Oct, 19:15 · 4 h before start
Won
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Philadelphia Flyers
1:4
Carolina Hurricanes
Carolina Hurricanes to win
Open on Xexpected 69% by model
Singleposted 11 Oct, 18:31 · 2 h before start
Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Arizona Cardinals
21:45
Detroit Lions
Detroit Lions +1.5
Open on Xexpected 60% by model
Parlay · 2posted 11 Oct, 06:07 · 8 h before start
Won
Mexico · LNBP: Play-off·
Dorados de Chihuahua
98:83
Gambusinos
Dorados de Chihuahua to win✓
Italy · Lega Basket Serie A·
Olimpia Milano
106:77
Universo Treviso Basket
Olimpia Milano to win✓
Open on Xexpected 37% by model
Singleposted 9 Oct, 23:36 · 3 h before start
Won
Liga MX · Liga MX: Apertura·
Tigres
3:2
Toluca
Both teams to score: yes
Open on Xexpected 65% by model
Singleposted 9 Oct, 20:20 · 3 h before start
Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Louisville Cardinals
44:20
Florida State Seminoles
Louisville Cardinals −2.5
Open on Xexpected 40% by model
Singleposted 8 Oct, 03:51 · 19 min before start
Won
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Kimmer Coppejans
0:2
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Kimmer Coppejans +5.5
Open on Xexpected 62% by model
Parlay · 2posted 5 Oct, 20:17 · 3 h before start
Won
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Pittsburgh Penguins
2:3
Winnipeg Jets
Under 7.5✓
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Boston Bruins
1:4
Ottawa Senators
Over 4.5✓
Open on Xexpected 61% by model
Singleposted 5 Oct, 19:37 · 1 h before start
Won
MLB · post-season·
Cleveland Guardians
3:4
Chicago White Sox
Over 6.5
Open on Xexpected 71% by model
Singleposted 5 Oct, 04:17 · 3 h before start
Won
ATP 500 · Japan Open (Tokyo)·
Carlos Alcaraz
2:1
Jaume Munar
Jaume Munar +6.5
Open on Xexpected 76% by model
Singleposted 1 Oct, 22:01 · 12 h before start
Won
ATP 500 · Japan Open (Tokyo)·
Arthur Fils
2:0
Frances Tiafoe
Arthur Fils to win
Open on Xexpected 59% by model
Singleposted 1 Oct, 22:00 · 3 h before start
Won
MLS·
Seattle Sounders FC
2:1
Sporting Kansas City
Seattle Sounders FC to win
Open on Xexpected 73% by model
Singleposted 28 Sept, 14:12 · 21 h before start
Lost
ATP Challenger · Porto 2, Portugal·
Anton Matusevich
1:2
Andrea Guerrieri
Anton Matusevich to win
Open on Xexpected 39% by model
Singleposted 27 Sept, 17:05 · 3 h before start
Won
NFL · Regular Season·
San Francisco 49ers
36:30
Arizona Cardinals
San Francisco 49ers to win
Open on Xexpected 71% by model
Singleposted 27 Sept, 15:23 · 5 h before start
Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
New Orleans Saints
27:35
Las Vegas Raiders
New Orleans Saints −2.5
Open on Xexpected 40% by model
Singleposted 27 Sept, 13:16 · 4 h before start
Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Cleveland Browns
21:18
Carolina Panthers
Cleveland Browns +3
Open on Xexpected 60% by model
Singleposted 26 Sept, 17:04 · 9 h before start
Won
MLB·
Athletics
2:13
Houston Astros
Houston Astros to win
Open on Xexpected 58% by model
Singleposted 26 Sept, 16:56 · 1 h before start
Won
ATP Challenger · Buenos Aires 2, Argentina·
Pedro Boscardin Dias
0:2
Facundo Mena
Facundo Mena to win
Open on Xexpected 72% by model
Singleposted 26 Sept, 16:16 · 3 h before start
Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Michigan Wolverines
19:20
Iowa Hawkeyes
Iowa Hawkeyes +7.5
Open on Xexpected 68% by model