Lost
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Rafael Jodar
2:0
Daniil Medvedev
Daniil Medvedev −2.5
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Tennis
Hit rate
50.0%
expected 62.0%
Edge
−12.0 pp
over expectation
Graded
2
1-1
ROI
-
on 1 picks with odds
Average odds
1.77
singles with odds
Form
streak L1 · best W1, worst L1
Wins above expectation
Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.
By sport
Tennis1-1 · 2 graded
−12.050%
Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.
By market
Handicap0-1 · 1 graded
−70.20%
Match result1-0 · 1 graded
+46.2100%
Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.
Favourites and underdogs
Favourite0-1 · 1 graded
−70.20%
Even1-0 · 1 graded
+46.2100%
Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.
By odds
1.50…1.891-0 · 1 graded
-100%
Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).
By month
- October 2026−12.0 pp1-1 · 50%
By league
- ATP 10001-150%−12.0
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Same main sport, closest index
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Picks
odds 1.77Won
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Rafael Jodar
2:1
Casper Ruud
Rafael Jodar to win@1.77
Void
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Arthur Gea
void
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Arthur Gea to win