odds 1.95DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NFL · Regular Season·
Los Angeles Rams
34:37
Buffalo BillsLos Angeles Rams −3.5
Mitch Carl 🍩
John 1:5🫶I bet on sports📊Founder @MySpariEdge Building the BEST sports betting community https://t.co/0VtRBgH466 👑Touchdown & Home Run King
NFL & NCAAFBaseball
Hit rate
16.7%
expected 47.1%
Edge
−30.4 pp
over expectation
Graded
6
1-5
ROI
-
on 3 picks with odds
Average odds
1.74
singles with odds
Form
streak L2 · best W1, worst L3
Wins above expectation
Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.
By sport
NFL & NCAAF1-3 · 4 graded
−30.025%
Baseball0-2 · 2 graded
−31.30%
Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.
By market
Handicap0-2 · 2 graded
−50.00%
Totals0-2 · 2 graded
−56.70%
Match result1-0 · 1 graded
+31.8100%
Parlays0-1 · 1 graded
−1.00%
Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.
Favourites and underdogs
Favourite1-1 · 2 graded
−14.950%
Even0-3 · 3 graded
−50.60%
Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.
By odds
< 1.501-0 · 1 graded
-100%
1.50…1.890-1 · 1 graded
-0%
1.90…2.290-1 · 1 graded
-0%
Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).
By month
- August 2026−31.3 pp0-2 · 0%
- September 2026−23.7 pp1-2 · 33%
- October 2026−48.8 pp0-1 · 0%
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Picks
Buffalo BillsLost
NFL · Regular Season·
Buffalo Bills
41:31
Detroit LionsUnder 55.5
odds 1.40DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NFL · Regular Season·
Buffalo Bills
41:31
Detroit LionsBuffalo Bills to win
odds 1.86DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NFL · Regular Season·
Buffalo Bills
41:31
Detroit LionsDetroit Lions +5.5
Lost
MLB·
Kansas City Royals
8:2
Minnesota TwinsUnder 9.5
Lost
MLB·
Tampa Bay Rays
1:0
Chicago White SoxTampa Bay Rays to win✓
MLB·
Atlanta Braves
8:3
Washington NationalsAtlanta Braves to win✓
MLB·
Cleveland Guardians
8:12
Arizona DiamondbacksCleveland Guardians to win✕
MLB·
Los Angeles Dodgers
2:3
Boston Red SoxLos Angeles Dodgers to win✕
MLB·
Chicago Cubs
5:2
New York YankeesNew York Yankees to win✕
MLB·
New York Mets
2:6
Miami MarlinsUnder 9.5✓
MLB·
Cleveland Guardians
8:12
Arizona DiamondbacksUnder 8.5✕
MLB·
Los Angeles Dodgers
2:3
Boston Red SoxUnder 7.5✓
MLB·
Toronto Blue Jays
5:1
St. Louis CardinalsSt. Louis Cardinals +1.5✕
MLB·
Houston Astros
5:4
Texas RangersHouston Astros +1.5✓
MLB·
Los Angeles Angels
1:3
Milwaukee BrewersLos Angeles Angels +1.5✕
MLB·
Colorado Rockies
12:6
Kansas City RoyalsColorado Rockies +1.5✓
MLB·
Tampa Bay Rays
1:0
Chicago White SoxTampa Bay Rays −1.5✕