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Cavebets🇩🇰🎮

@CaveBets1.4K followersfirst pick 30 Augusually posts 16 h before start

CS2 Tipster on full-time🇩🇰🎮Sharing free picks from my paid service. Running a paid service. Check pinned for info📌INQUIRIES? Send me a dm🎁

FootballNFL & NCAAF
Tipster index43.0needs 10+ graded picksbuilding history
Hit rate
20.0%
expected 44.4%
Edge
−24.4 pp
over expectation
Graded
5
1-4
ROI
-
on 4 picks with odds
Average odds
2.14
singles with odds
Form
streak L2 · best W1, worst L2

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-1.5-1-0.5029 Aug11 Sept23 Sept6 Oct18 Oct

By sport

Football1-3 · 4 graded
−20.5
25%
NFL & NCAAF0-1 · 1 graded
−40.1
0%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result1-2 · 3 graded
−10.0
33%
Handicap0-2 · 2 graded
−46.1
0%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Even1-3 · 4 graded
−21.4
25%
Underdog0-1 · 1 graded
−36.4
0%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

1.50…1.891-1 · 2 graded
-
50%
1.90…2.290-1 · 1 graded
-
0%
2.30…3.490-1 · 1 graded
-
0%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

  • August 2026
    −36.4 pp
    0-1 · 0%
  • September 2026
    −1.6 pp
    1-1 · 50%
  • October 2026
    −41.2 pp
    0-2 · 0%

By league

  • NFL0-10%−40.1
  • MLS Next Pro · USA0-10%−36.4
  • National Women's Soccer League · USA1-0100%+48.8
  • NPL New South Wales · Australia0-10%−52.0
  • Liga Nacional · Guatemala0-10%−42.3

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Picks

Singleposted 15 Oct, 07:02 · 3 days before start
Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Atlanta Falcons
23:31
Chicago Bears
Atlanta Falcons −9
Open on Xexpected 40% by model
Singleposted 3 Oct, 22:15 · 25 h before start
odds 2.25Lost
Guatemala · Liga Nacional: Apertura·
Guastatoya
2:1
Aurora FC
Aurora FC to win@2.25
Open on Xexpected 42% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 13 Sept, 08:54 · 8 h before start
odds 1.86Won
USA · National Women's Soccer League·
Washington Spirit
0:3
Boston Legacy FC
Boston Legacy FC to win@1.86
Open on Xexpected 51% from odds+0.86 u
Singleposted 5 Sept, 13:30 · 16 h before start
odds 1.83Lost
Australia · NPL New South Wales: Playoffs·
APIA Leichhardt Tigers
3:0
Spirit FC
Spirit FC −4.5@1.83
Open on Xexpected 52% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 30 Aug, 19:27 · 4 h before start
odds 2.62Lost
USA · MLS Next Pro·
Orlando City B
3:2
Crown Legacy
Crown Legacy to win@2.62
Open on Xexpected 36% from odds−1.00 u