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@CDLockLounge1.1K followersfirst pick 1 Augusually posts 6 h before start

Winners Win.💰- Est. Oct. ‘25🗓️ 1-5U Plays🎯- DM For VIP Plays📩 - #LockLounge

BaseballNFL & NCAAFHockeyBasketballFootball
Tipster index55.4#167 on the leaderboarddown 53 this weekestablished sample

Open picks 6

Games not played yet
NBA · Regular season·
Milwaukee Bucks
live
Chicago Bulls
Over 240@1.91
NBA · Regular season·
Boston Celtics
-:-
New York Knicks
Boston Celtics to win@1.74
NBA · Regular season·
Orlando Magic
-:-
Minnesota Timberwolves
Orlando Magic to win@1.87
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Virginia Cavaliers
-:-
Duke Blue Devils
Duke Blue Devils +2.5@1.91
MLB · post-season·
Milwaukee Brewers
-:-
Tampa Bay Rays
Milwaukee Brewers to win@1.54
NBA · Regular season·
Miami Heat
-:-
Detroit Pistons
Miami Heat to win@2.05
Hit rate
53.0%
expected 50.1%
Edge
+2.9 pp
95% lower bound of the hit rate: 48.8%, the edge is within noise
Graded
393
205-182-6 · 7 pending
ROI
+1.3%
on 391 picks with odds · max drawdown −15.84 u
Average odds
1.90
singles with odds
Form
streak L2 · best W7, worst L6

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

051031 Jul21 Aug11 Sept2 Oct23 Oct

By sport

Baseball124-104-2 · 230 graded
+3.8
54%
NFL & NCAAF59-61-4 · 124 graded
+0.1
49%
Hockey14-11 · 25 graded
+6.1
56%
Basketball4-6 · 10 graded
−9.4
40%
Football4-0 · 4 graded
+48.8
100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result115-86 · 201 graded
+6.8
57%
Handicap47-58-4 · 109 graded
−5.4
45%
Totals38-35-2 · 75 graded
+1.8
52%
Team totals4-1 · 5 graded
+27.1
80%
Parlays1-2 · 3 graded
+16.6
33%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite0-0 · 0 graded
-
-
Even203-178-6 · 387 graded
+2.9
53%
Underdog1-2 · 3 graded
−5.5
33%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

1.50…1.8993-73-1 · 167 graded
+0.2%
56%
1.90…2.29106-103-5 · 214 graded
+0.5%
51%
2.30…3.495-4 · 9 graded
+31.0%
56%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 2 of 3 months with 5+ picks
  • August 2026
    +4.4 pp
    89-72-1 · 55%
    ROI +4.6%
  • September 2026
    −0.1 pp
    60-60-3 · 50%
    ROI −4.8%
  • October 2026
    +4.0 pp
    56-50-2 · 53%
    ROI +3.2%

By league

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Picks

Singleposted 23 Oct, 20:00 · 4 h before start
odds 1.54Pending
MLB · post-season·
Milwaukee Brewers
-:-
Tampa Bay Rays
Milwaukee Brewers to win@1.54
Open on Xexpected 62% from odds
Singleposted 23 Oct, 19:54 · 6 min before start
odds 1.91Pending
NBA · Regular season·
Milwaukee Bucks
live
Chicago Bulls
Over 240@1.91
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds
Singleposted 23 Oct, 19:54 · 3 h before start
odds 1.74Pending
NBA · Regular season·
Boston Celtics
-:-
New York Knicks
Boston Celtics to win@1.74
Open on Xexpected 55% from odds
Singleposted 23 Oct, 19:54 · 3 h before start
odds 1.87Pending
NBA · Regular season·
Orlando Magic
-:-
Minnesota Timberwolves
Orlando Magic to win@1.87
Open on Xexpected 51% from odds
Singleposted 23 Oct, 19:54 · 4 h before start
odds 2.05Pending
NBA · Regular season·
Miami Heat
-:-
Detroit Pistons
Miami Heat to win@2.05
Open on Xexpected 47% from odds
Singleposted 23 Oct, 19:54 · 3 h before start
odds 1.91Pending
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Virginia Cavaliers
-:-
Duke Blue Devils
Duke Blue Devils +2.5@1.91
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds
Singleposted 23 Oct, 19:54 · 5 h before start
odds 1.91Pending
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Wyoming Cowboys
-:-
Air Force Falcons
Under 46.5@1.91
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds
Singleposted 22 Oct, 21:15 · 2 h before start
odds 1.91Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Memphis Tigers
41:34
East Carolina Pirates
Over 55@1.91
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds+0.91 u
Singleposted 22 Oct, 21:15 · 4 h before start
odds 1.91Lost
NBA · Regular season·
Oklahoma City Thunder
96:84
Denver Nuggets
Denver Nuggets +8.5@1.91
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 22 Oct, 21:15 · 2 h before start
odds 1.91Won
NBA · Regular season·
Philadelphia 76ers
114:106
Cleveland Cavaliers
Under 237@1.91
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds+0.91 u
Singleposted 22 Oct, 21:15 · 2 h before start
odds 1.91Lost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Pittsburgh Penguins
4:0
Florida Panthers
Florida Panthers to win@1.91
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 22 Oct, 21:15 · 4 h before start
odds 2.30Lost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Calgary Flames
2:1
Minnesota Wild
Minnesota Wild −1.5@2.30
Open on Xexpected 41% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 22 Oct, 18:52 · 7 min before start
odds 1.77Won
Europa League · League Stage·
AFC Bournemouth
3:0
AC Milan
Over 2.5@1.77
Open on Xexpected 54% from odds+0.77 u
Singleposted 22 Oct, 17:00 · 7 h before start
odds 1.91Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Chicago Bears
30:24
New England Patriots
Over 50.5@1.91
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds+0.91 u
Singleposted 21 Oct, 17:44 · 5 h before start
odds 1.91Won
NBA · Regular season·
Washington Wizards
128:116
Milwaukee Bucks
Washington Wizards −4.5@1.91
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds+0.91 u
Singleposted 21 Oct, 17:44 · 6 h before start
odds 1.91Lost
NBA · Regular season·
Miami Heat
106:131
Minnesota Timberwolves
Over 240@1.91
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 21 Oct, 17:44 · 6 h before start
odds 1.91Lost
NBA · Regular season·
New Orleans Pelicans
120:123
Indiana Pacers
Indiana Pacers −3.5@1.91
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 21 Oct, 17:44 · 6 h before start
odds 2.05Lost
NBA · Regular season·
Memphis Grizzlies
123:103
Utah Jazz
Utah Jazz to win@2.05
Open on Xexpected 47% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 21 Oct, 17:44 · 7 h before start
odds 1.91Lost
NBA · Regular season·
Houston Rockets
128:110
Dallas Mavericks
Dallas Mavericks +10@1.91
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 21 Oct, 17:44 · 8 h before start
odds 1.91Won
NBA · Regular season·
LA Lakers
127:105
Golden State Warriors
LA Lakers −6.5@1.91
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds+0.91 u
Singleposted 20 Oct, 16:44 · 2 h before start
odds 1.87Lost
NBA · Regular season·
Detroit Pistons
121:113
Boston Celtics
Boston Celtics to win@1.87
Open on Xexpected 51% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 20 Oct, 16:44 · 9 h before start
odds 2.00Won
NBA · Regular season·
San Antonio Spurs
104:116
Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City Thunder to win@2.00
Open on Xexpected 48% from odds+1.00 u
Singleposted 20 Oct, 16:44 · 6 h before start
odds 1.91Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
FIU Golden Panthers
23:26
Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders
Under 46.5@1.91
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 20 Oct, 16:44 · 7 h before start
odds 1.83Lost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
St. Louis Blues
2:1
Winnipeg Jets
Over 5.5@1.83
Open on Xexpected 52% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 19 Oct, 16:38 · 8 h before start
odds 1.91Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
San Francisco 49ers
23:17
Washington Commanders
Over 52@1.91
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 19 Oct, 16:38 · 7 h before start
odds 1.83Won
MLB · post-season·
Tampa Bay Rays
7:3
Cleveland Guardians
Over 6.5@1.83
Open on Xexpected 52% from odds+0.83 u
Singleposted 19 Oct, 16:38 · 6 h before start
odds 1.80Won
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Philadelphia Flyers
3:2
Colorado Avalanche
Philadelphia Flyers +1.5@1.80
Open on Xexpected 53% from odds+0.80 u
Singleposted 19 Oct, 16:38 · 7 h before start
odds 1.77Won
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Toronto Maple Leafs
3:1
San Jose Sharks
Toronto Maple Leafs to win@1.77
Open on Xexpected 54% from odds+0.77 u
Singleposted 19 Oct, 16:38 · 8 h before start
odds 1.80Won
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Utah Mammoth
5:4
Pittsburgh Penguins
Over 6.5@1.80
Open on Xexpected 53% from odds+0.80 u
Singleposted 18 Oct, 19:42 · 42 min before start
odds 1.91Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Las Vegas Raiders
30:33
Buffalo Bills
Las Vegas Raiders +5@1.91
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds+0.91 u