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BankaiBets

@BankaiBets24.6K followersfirst pick 13 Augusually posts 3 h before start

MAKING GAMBLING EASY 📢

TennisBasketball
CompareRSS
Tipster index44.3#634 on the leaderboarddown 43 this weekdeveloping sample
Hit rate
42.9%
expected 51.9%
Edge
−9.0 pp
95% lower bound of the hit rate: 24.1%, the edge is within noise
Graded
14
6-8
ROI
−35.6%
on 8 picks with odds · max drawdown −4.29 u
Average odds
1.94
singles with odds
Form
streak L2 · best W2, worst L4

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-2-1013 Aug31 Aug18 Sept6 Oct24 Oct

By sport

Tennis5-5 · 10 graded
−4.7
50%
Basketball1-3 · 4 graded
−19.8
25%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result5-6 · 11 graded
−9.2
45%
Handicap1-1 · 2 graded
−0.2
50%
Parlays0-1 · 1 graded
−24.9
0%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite2-1 · 3 graded
−3.7
67%
Even3-5 · 8 graded
−14.7
38%
Underdog1-1 · 2 graded
+13.7
50%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

1.50…1.893-1 · 4 graded
-
75%
1.90…2.290-2 · 2 graded
-
0%
2.30…3.490-1 · 1 graded
-
0%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 0 of 2 months with 5+ picks
  • August 2026
    +11.8 pp
    3-1 · 75%
  • September 2026
    −10.0 pp
    2-3 · 40%
  • October 2026
    −24.8 pp
    1-4 · 20%

By league

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Same main sport, closest index

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Picks

Parlay · 2posted 24 Oct, 01:37 · 23 min before start
odds 3.64Lost
NBA · Regular season·
LA Lakers
125:117
LA Clippers
LA Lakers −8.5@1.91✕
NBA · Regular season·
Sacramento Kings
120:128
Portland Trail Blazers
Portland Trail Blazers −10.5@1.91✕
Open on Xexpected 25% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 23 Oct, 16:25 · 7 h before start
odds 1.95Lost
NBA · Regular season·
Orlando Magic
93:115
Minnesota Timberwolves
Orlando Magic to win@1.95
Open on Xexpected 49% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 22 Oct, 16:42 · 9 h before start
odds 1.71Won
NBA · Regular season·
Oklahoma City Thunder
96:84
Denver Nuggets
Oklahoma City Thunder −5.5@1.71
Open on Xexpected 56% from odds+0.71 u
Singleposted 21 Oct, 21:42 · 2 h before start
odds 1.91Lost
NBA · Regular season·
Miami Heat
106:131
Minnesota Timberwolves
Miami Heat to win@1.91
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 20 Oct, 04:42 · 8 min before start
Lost
WTA 250 · Japan Open·
Oleksandra Oliynykova
0:2
Mary Stoiana
Oleksandra Oliynykova +1.5 sets
Open on Xexpected 45% by model
Singleposted 24 Sept, 16:21 · 20 h before start
odds 2.80Lost
ATP Challenger · St. Tropez, France·
Harold Mayot
2:1
Jesper de Jong
Jesper de Jong to win@2.80
Open on Xexpected 34% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 2 Sept, 01:55 · 28 h before start
odds 1.79Lost
ATP Challenger · Zhangjiagang, China·
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
2:0
Koki Matsuda
Koki Matsuda to win@1.79
Open on Xexpected 53% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 2 Sept, 01:39 · 21 h before start
odds 1.77Won
US Open · Women's Singles·
Iva Jovic
2:0
Magdalena Frech
Iva Jovic to win@1.77
Open on Xexpected 54% from odds+0.77 u
Singleposted 1 Sept, 20:09 · 2 h before start
Lost
US Open · Women's Singles·
Darja Vidmanova
0:2
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Darja Vidmanova to win
Open on Xexpected 70% by model
Singleposted 1 Sept, 14:53 · 4 h before start
Won
US Open · Women's Singles·
Gabriela Knutson
0:2
Eva Lys
Eva Lys to win
Open on Xexpected 39% by model
Singleposted 30 Aug, 18:04 · 1 h before start
Won
US Open · Men's Singles·
Toby Samuel
3:0
Tomas Machac
Toby Samuel to win
Open on Xexpected 73% by model
Singleposted 25 Aug, 17:34 · 2 h before start
Lost
US Open · Men's Qualification·
Pedro Martinez
0:2
Daniil Glinka
Pedro Martinez to win
Open on Xexpected 55% by model
Singleposted 25 Aug, 14:59 · 10 min before start
Won
US Open · Men's Qualification·
Timofey Skatov
2:0
Gilles Arnaud Bailly
Timofey Skatov to win
Open on Xexpected 68% by model
Singleposted 13 Aug, 23:01 · 20 h before start
odds 1.67Won
ATP Challenger · Brownsburg, USA·
Lloyd Harris
2:1
Harry Wendelken
Lloyd Harris to win@1.67
Open on Xexpected 57% from odds+0.67 u