Aussie Rebel TV

@AussieRebelTV620 followersfirst pick 18 Sept

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HockeyBasketballCricket

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Tipster index49.5needs 10+ graded picksbuilding history

Hit rate

50.0%

expected 52.2%

Edge

−2.2 pp

over expectation

Graded

2-2

ROI

on 2 picks with odds

Average odds

2.36

singles with odds

Form

streak L1 · best W2, worst L1

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

By sport

Hockey1-1 · 2 graded

+15.7

50%

Basketball0-1 · 1 graded

−61.0

Cricket1-0 · 1 graded

+20.8

100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result2-2 · 4 graded

−2.2

50%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite1-1 · 2 graded

−20.1

50%

Underdog1-1 · 2 graded

+15.7

50%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

1.50…1.890-1 · 1 graded

2.30…3.490-1 · 1 graded

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).