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A2Z FOOTBALL PICKS

@A2ZPICKS2407 followersfirst pick 21 Octusually posts 1 h before start

🏈 NFL & NCAAF | ⚽ Global Soccer 🔥 Daily Picks, Props & Parlays 📊 Finding Value. Defying the Odds. 🐻 Powered by @A2ZPICKS1

FootballNFL & NCAAF
CompareRSS
Tipster index53.1#265 on the leaderboardnewdeveloping sample
Hit rate
56.3%
expected 51.8%
Edge
+4.4 pp
95% lower bound of the hit rate: 36.5%, the edge is within noise
Graded
16
9-7
ROI
−7.9%
on 10 picks with odds · max drawdown −1.50 u
Average odds
1.83
singles with odds
Form
streak L2 · best W3, worst L2

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-0.500.5120 Oct22 Oct23 Oct24 Oct25 Oct

By sport

Football3-6 · 9 graded
−17.2
33%
NFL & NCAAF6-1 · 7 graded
+32.2
86%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Parlays3-3 · 6 graded
+6.3
50%
Match result2-1 · 3 graded
+15.2
67%
Totals3-0 · 3 graded
+32.0
100%
Handicap1-2 · 3 graded
−18.5
33%
Both teams to score0-1 · 1 graded
−53.4
0%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite2-0 · 2 graded
+24.5
100%
Even4-4 · 8 graded
−2.0
50%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

1.50…1.893-3 · 6 graded
−11.7%
50%
1.90…2.291-0 · 1 graded
-
100%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 1 of 1 months with 5+ picks
  • October 2026
    +4.4 pp
    9-7 · 56%
    ROI −7.9%

By league

Similar tipsters

Same main sport, closest index

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A2Z FOOTBALL PICKS (@A2ZPICKS2) on BetBuddyRank
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Picks

Singleposted 25 Oct, 16:22 · 37 min before start
odds 1.83Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Minnesota Vikings
16:10
Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis Colts +7.5@1.83
Open on Xexpected 52% from odds+0.83 u
Singleposted 25 Oct, 16:00 · 5 h before start
odds 1.71DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
Primeira Liga·
Sporting CP
1:2
Academico Viseu
Sporting CP −1.5
Open on Xexpected 54% from the closing line−1.00 u
Same-game combo · 2posted 25 Oct, 16:00 · 4 h before start
Lost
LaLiga·
Barcelona
1:2
Real Madrid
Barcelona to win✕
LaLiga·
Barcelona
1:2
Real Madrid
Over 2.5✓
Open on Xexpected 43% by model
Parlay · 2posted 24 Oct, 22:00 · 2 h before start
Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Texas Longhorns
34:27
Ole Miss Rebels
Ole Miss Rebels +7.5✓
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Wisconsin Badgers
24:7
USC Trojans
Wisconsin Badgers +7.5✓
Open on Xexpected 49% by model
Singleposted 24 Oct, 18:35 · 1 h before start
odds 1.87Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Arizona State Sun Devils
28:17
Kansas State Wildcats
Kansas State Wildcats to win@1.87
Open on Xexpected 51% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 24 Oct, 18:35 · 54 min before start
odds 1.67Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Navy Midshipmen
39:49
North Texas Mean Green
North Texas Mean Green to win@1.67
Open on Xexpected 57% from odds+0.67 u
Parlay · 2posted 24 Oct, 15:37 · 22 min before start
odds 1.86Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Michigan Wolverines
6:13
Indiana Hoosiers
Indiana Hoosiers to win✓
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Auburn Tigers
17:38
LSU Tigers
Over 44.5✓
Open on Xexpected 49% from odds+0.86 u
Singleposted 24 Oct, 15:15 · 1 h before start
Won
Premier League·
Chelsea
0:2
Tottenham Hotspur
Over 1.5
Open on Xexpected 87% by model
Singleposted 24 Oct, 15:00 · 2 h before start
odds 2.05DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
LaLiga·
Valencia
1:2
Villarreal
Villarreal to win
Open on Xexpected 46% from the closing line+1.05 u
Parlay · 2posted 24 Oct, 12:15 · 1 h before start
odds 1.89Lost
Bundesliga·
RB Leipzig
4:0
Elversberg
RB Leipzig to win✓
Bundesliga·
Borussia Dortmund
1:0
Eintracht Frankfurt
Over 1.5✕
Open on Xexpected 48% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 23 Oct, 22:13 · 46 min before start
Lost
Serie A·
Cruzeiro
1:0
Remo
Both teams to score: yes
Open on Xexpected 53% by model
Parlay · 4posted 23 Oct, 17:05 · 54 min before start
odds 3.49Lost
Eerste Divisie·
FC Volendam
6:2
Jong FC Utrecht
FC Volendam to win✓
Eredivisie·
Go Ahead Eagles
3:2
Telstar
Go Ahead Eagles to win✓
Bundesliga·
VfB Stuttgart
2:3
Borussia M'gladbach
VfB Stuttgart to win✕
Super League·
Wuhan Three Towns
3:5
Shandong Taishan
Wuhan Three Towns to win✕
Open on Xexpected 24% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 22 Oct, 22:39 · 50 min before start
Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Memphis Tigers
41:34
East Carolina Pirates
Over 54
Open on Xexpected 64% by model
Parlay · 2posted 22 Oct, 13:14 · 4 h before start
Won
Europa League · League Stage·
Union St.Gilloise
4:0
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Union St.Gilloise to win✓
Europa League · League Stage·
Beşiktaş
2:2
Crystal Palace
Over 2.5✓
Open on Xexpected 50% by model
Singleposted 21 Oct, 20:33 · 3 h before start
odds 1.80Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Sam Houston State Bearkats
24:30
New Mexico State Aggies
Over 45.5@1.80
Open on Xexpected 53% from odds+0.80 u
Singleposted 21 Oct, 18:35 · 24 min before start
odds 1.86DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
Champions League · League Stage·
Sporting CP
2:3
LASK
Sporting CP −1.5
Open on Xexpected 50% from the closing line−1.00 u