Hit rate
75.0%
expected 62.2%
Edge
+12.8 pp
over expectation
Graded
4
3-1
ROI
-
on 1 picks with odds
Average odds
2.25
singles with odds
Form
streak W2 · best W2, worst L1
Wins above expectation
Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.
By sport
Football3-1 · 4 graded
+12.875%
Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.
By market
Totals2-0 · 2 graded
+14.0100%
Match result0-1 · 1 graded
−42.30%
Parlays1-0 · 1 graded
+65.6100%
Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.
Favourites and underdogs
Favourite2-0 · 2 graded
+14.0100%
Even0-1 · 1 graded
−42.30%
Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.
By odds
1.90…2.290-1 · 1 graded
-0%
Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).
By month
- August 2026+17.8 pp1-0 · 100%
- September 2026−16.0 pp1-1 · 50%
- October 2026+65.6 pp1-0 · 100%
By league
- Premier League · England1-150%−12.3
- Champions League1-0100%+65.6
- Ligue 1 · France1-0100%+10.2
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Picks
Won
Champions League · League Stage·
Bayern Munich
2:2
Both teams to score: yes✓
Champions League · League Stage·
Bayern Munich
2:2
Over 2.5✓
Won
Ligue 1·
Marseille
1:2
Under 5
odds 2.25DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
Premier League·
Aston Villa
1:2
Aston Villa to win
Won
Premier League·
Chelsea
4:3
Over 2
