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season","start":"2026-10-20T23:00:00Z","status":"finished","home":"New York Knicks","away":"Philadelphia 76ers","score":[100,106],"logos":["https://lsm-static-prod.livescore.com/medium/enet/58511.png","https://lsm-static-prod.livescore.com/medium/enet/58509.png"]},"ls:1867553":{"id":"ls:1867553","sport":"basketball","league":"NBA · Regular season","start":"2026-10-20T19:00:00Z","status":"finished","home":"Detroit Pistons","away":"Boston Celtics","score":[121,113],"logos":["https://lsm-static-prod.livescore.com/medium/enet/58542.png","https://lsm-static-prod.livescore.com/medium/enet/58534.png"]},"ls:1780051":{"id":"ls:1780051","sport":"american_football","league":"NFL · Regular Season","start":"2026-10-20T00:15:00Z","status":"finished","home":"San Francisco 49ers","away":"Washington Commanders","score":[23,17],"logos":["https://lsm-static-prod.livescore.com/medium/enet/59612.png","https://lsm-static-prod.livescore.com/medium/enet/59605.png"]},"ls:1780046":{"id":"ls:1780046","sport":"american_football","league":"NFL · Regular Season","start":"2026-10-19T00:20:00Z","status":"finished","home":"Green Bay Packers","away":"Dallas Cowboys","score":[23,13],"logos":["https://lsm-static-prod.livescore.com/medium/enet/59621.png","https://lsm-static-prod.livescore.com/medium/enet/59620.png"]},"ls:1780044":{"id":"ls:1780044","sport":"american_football","league":"NFL · Regular Season","start":"2026-10-18T20:25:00Z","status":"finished","home":"Las Vegas Raiders","away":"Buffalo Bills","score":[30,33],"logos":["https://lsm-static-prod.livescore.com/medium/enet/59616.png","https://lsm-static-prod.livescore.com/medium/enet/59598.png"]},"ls:1780043":{"id":"ls:1780043","sport":"american_football","league":"NFL · Regular Season","start":"2026-10-18T17:00:00Z","status":"finished","home":"Indianapolis Colts","away":"Tennessee Titans","score":[20,26],"logos":["https://lsm-static-prod.livescore.com/medium/enet/59617.png","https://lsm-static-prod.livescore.com/medium/enet/59602.png"]},"ls:1780068":{"id":"ls:1780068","sport":"american_football","league":"NFL · Regular Season","start":"2026-10-18T17:00:00Z","status":"finished","home":"New York Giants","away":"New Orleans Saints","score":[27,34],"logos":["https://lsm-static-prod.livescore.com/medium/teambadge/new-york-giants-2024.png","https://lsm-static-prod.livescore.com/medium/enet/59611.png"]},"ls:1780054":{"id":"ls:1780054","sport":"american_football","league":"NFL · Regular Season","start":"2026-10-18T17:00:00Z","status":"finished","home":"Atlanta Falcons","away":"Chicago Bears","score":[23,31],"logos":["https://lsm-static-prod.livescore.com/medium/enet/59626.png","https://lsm-static-prod.livescore.com/medium/teambadge/chicago-bears-2024.png"]},"ls:1780060":{"id":"ls:1780060","sport":"american_football","league":"NFL · Regular Season","start":"2026-10-18T13:30:00Z","status":"finished","home":"Jacksonville Jaguars","away":"Houston Texans","score":[31,34],"logos":["https://lsm-static-prod.livescore.com/medium/enet/59600.png","https://lsm-static-prod.livescore.com/medium/enet/59597.png"]},"ls:1835257":{"id":"ls:1835257","sport":"hockey","league":"NHL · NHL: Regular season","start":"2026-10-17T02:00:00Z","status":"finished","home":"Anaheim Ducks","away":"Boston Bruins","score":[2,4],"logos":["https://lsm-static-prod.livescore.com/medium/enet/263.png","https://lsm-static-prod.livescore.com/medium/enet/276.png"]},"ls:1780057":{"id":"ls:1780057","sport":"american_football","league":"NFL · Regular Season","start":"2026-10-18T17:00:00Z","status":"finished","home":"Tampa Bay Buccaneers","away":"Pittsburgh Steelers","score":[19,26],"logos":["https://lsm-static-prod.livescore.com/medium/enet/59607.png","https://lsm-static-prod.livescore.com/medium/enet/59615.png"]},"ls:1780039":{"id":"ls:1780039","sport":"american_football","league":"NFL · Regular Season","start":"2026-10-13T00:15:00Z","status":"finished","home":"Los Angeles Rams","away":"Buffalo Bills","score":[34,37],"logos":["https://lsm-static-prod.livescore.com/medium/enet/59610.png","https://lsm-static-prod.livescore.com/medium/enet/59598.png"]},"ls:1780027":{"id":"ls:1780027","sport":"american_football","league":"NFL · Regular Season","start":"2026-10-12T00:20:00Z","status":"finished","home":"Atlanta Falcons","away":"Baltimore Ravens","score":[23,30],"logos":["https://lsm-static-prod.livescore.com/medium/enet/59626.png","https://lsm-static-prod.livescore.com/medium/enet/59614.png"]},"ls:1780035":{"id":"ls:1780035","sport":"american_football","league":"NFL · Regular Season","start":"2026-10-11T20:25:00Z","status":"finished","home":"Arizona Cardinals","away":"Detroit Lions","score":[21,45],"logos":["https://lsm-static-prod.livescore.com/medium/enet/59668.png","https://lsm-static-prod.livescore.com/medium/enet/59608.png"]},"ls:1780034":{"id":"ls:1780034","sport":"american_football","league":"NFL · Regular Season","start":"2026-10-11T17:00:00Z","status":"finished","home":"New Orleans Saints","away":"Minnesota Vikings","score":[13,23],"logos":["https://lsm-static-prod.livescore.com/medium/enet/59611.png","https://lsm-static-prod.livescore.com/medium/enet/59623.png"]},"ls:1780030":{"id":"ls:1780030","sport":"american_football","league":"NFL · Regular Season","start":"2026-10-11T13:30:00Z","status":"finished","home":"Jacksonville Jaguars","away":"Philadelphia Eagles","score":[19,17],"logos":["https://lsm-static-prod.livescore.com/medium/enet/59600.png","https://lsm-static-prod.livescore.com/medium/enet/59606.png"]},"ls:1780033":{"id":"ls:1780033","sport":"american_football","league":"NFL · Regular Season","start":"2026-10-11T17:00:00Z","status":"finished","home":"Washington Commanders","away":"New York Giants","score":[27,27],"logos":["https://lsm-static-prod.livescore.com/medium/enet/59605.png","https://lsm-static-prod.livescore.com/medium/teambadge/new-york-giants-2024.png"]},"ls:1903313":{"id":"ls:1903313","sport":"tennis","league":"ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification","start":"2026-10-06T07:40:00Z","status":"finished","home":"Chak Wong","away":"Lloyd Harris","score":[2,1],"logos":[null,null]}},"bets":[{"id":"2114475872744857801:0","tweet":"2114475872744857801","posted":"2026-10-25T21:55:07Z","kind":"single","odds":null,"result":"pending","profit":null,"p0":0.046,"text":"Our tested NBA prop model, tonight (Clippers at Thunder):\nChet Holmgren UNDER 1.5 blocks +111 (DraftKings, best price we found) (forward test, not yet backed by the backtest)\nShai Gilgeous-Alexander UNDER 0.5 blocks +127 (DraftKings, best price we found) (forward test, not yet backed by the backtest)\nRui Hachimura UNDER 4.5 rebounds +115 (DraftKings, best price we found) (under review: losing live","legs":[{"event":"ls:1911340","pick":{"m":"total","l":1.5,"d":"under","u":"sets"},"odds":null,"result":"pending"}]},{"id":"2113759924664627685:0","tweet":"2113759924664627685","posted":"2026-10-23T22:30:12Z","kind":"combo","odds":null,"result":"loss","profit":null,"p0":0.338,"text":"We simulated the Rockets at the Spurs 10,000 times 🏀\nSpurs win 59% of our sims. Median final: Rockets 111, Spurs 114.\nSpurs -3.5 covers 49%, total 225.5 goes over 50% (our line).\n\nFull player table on the card. Player props in the reply. #NBA #RocketsSpurs\n21+ · Not betting advice · Gambling problem? 1-800-GAMBLER","legs":[{"event":"ls:1867552","pick":{"m":"winner","s":"h"},"odds":null,"result":"loss","mo":[1.44,1.54]},{"event":"ls:1867552","pick":{"m":"handicap","s":"h","l":-3.5},"odds":null,"result":"loss"}]},{"id":"2113383692039065998:0","tweet":"2113383692039065998","posted":"2026-10-22T21:35:11Z","kind":"single","odds":null,"result":"win","profit":null,"p0":0.444,"text":"🔎 Line shop for Patriots at Bears: same player, same line, very different prices depending on where you click.\n\nBooks don't move together. Grabbing the best number on every bet is the one edge nobody has to argue about, and over a season it's worth more than most hot takes.\n\n• Efton Chism III over 1.5 catches: -105 at ESPN BET, -137 at Bally Bet\n• Rome Odunze over 3.5 catches: +140 at ESPN BET, +1","legs":[{"event":"ls:1785407","pick":{"m":"total","l":3.5,"d":"over"},"odds":null,"result":"win"}]},{"id":"2113361075869495555:0","tweet":"2113361075869495555","posted":"2026-10-22T20:05:19Z","kind":"single","odds":null,"result":"loss","profit":null,"p0":0.066,"text":"🎯 Prop of the hour: TreVeyon Henderson under 0.5 catches, best price +154 at DraftKings.\n\nRunning backs catch what the game gives them, and this one doesn't project to give him much: our median is 0 catches.\n\nWe give the under a 54% chance. At +154 you need 39% to break even.\n\nShop it: the same bet is +140 at BetMGM. Same line, worse price.\n\nNo tested edge on this one, so it's our chance against t","legs":[{"event":"ls:1833150","pick":{"m":"team_total","s":"h","l":0.5,"d":"under"},"odds":null,"result":"loss"}]},{"id":"2113067862533267691:0","tweet":"2113067862533267691","posted":"2026-10-22T00:40:11Z","kind":"combo","odds":null,"result":"win","profit":null,"p0":0.292,"text":"We simulated the Suns at the Trail Blazers 10,000 times 🏀\nTrail Blazers win 60% of our sims. Median final: Suns 113, Trail Blazers 116.\nClingan over 10.5 points hits in 59% of sims.\nTrail Blazers -3.5 covers 50%, total 229.0 goes over 49% (our line).\n\nFull player table on the card. Player props in the reply. #NBA #SunsTrailBlazers\n21+ · Not betting advice · Gambling problem? 1-800-GAMBLER","legs":[{"event":"ls:1868316","pick":{"m":"winner","s":"h"},"odds":null,"result":"win","mo":[1.58,1.64]},{"event":"ls:1868316","pick":{"m":"handicap","s":"h","l":-3.5},"odds":null,"result":"win","mo":[null,1.9]}]},{"id":"2113022559851610452:0","tweet":"2113022559851610452","posted":"2026-10-21T21:40:10Z","kind":"combo","odds":null,"result":"win","profit":null,"p0":0.423,"text":"We simulated the Mavericks at the Rockets 10,000 times 🏀\nRockets win 59% of our sims. Median final: Mavericks 113, Rockets 117.\nFlagg under 21.5 points hits in 61% of sims.\nRockets -2.5 covers 52%, total 230.0 goes over 49% (our line).\n\nFull player table on the card. Player props in the reply. #NBA #MavericksRockets\n21+ · Not betting advice · Gambling problem? 1-800-GAMBLER","legs":[{"event":"ls:1868318","pick":{"m":"winner","s":"h"},"odds":null,"result":"win","mo":[1.29,1.23]},{"event":"ls:1868318","pick":{"m":"handicap","s":"h","l":-2.5},"odds":null,"result":"win"}]},{"id":"2113017528322523432:0","tweet":"2113017528322523432","posted":"2026-10-21T21:20:11Z","kind":"combo","odds":null,"result":"loss","profit":null,"p0":0.237,"text":"We simulated the Pacers at the Pelicans 10,000 times 🏀\nPelicans win 63% of our sims. Median final: Pacers 113, Pelicans 117.\nSiakam over 20.5 points hits in 59% of sims.\nPelicans -4.5 covers 51%, total 230.0 goes over 49% (our line).\n\nFull player table on the card. Player props in the reply. #NBA #PacersPelicans\n21+ · Not betting advice · Gambling problem? 1-800-GAMBLER","legs":[{"event":"ls:1868305","pick":{"m":"winner","s":"h"},"odds":null,"result":"loss","mo":[2.45,2.2]},{"event":"ls:1868305","pick":{"m":"handicap","s":"h","l":-4.5},"odds":null,"result":"loss"}]},{"id":"2113012505492492559:0","tweet":"2113012505492492559","posted":"2026-10-21T21:00:13Z","kind":"combo","odds":null,"result":"loss","profit":null,"p0":0.254,"text":"We simulated the Jazz at the Grizzlies 10,000 times 🏀\nJazz win 51% of our sims. Median final: Jazz 116, Grizzlies 116.\nJackson under 18.5 points hits in 58% of sims.\nJazz -0.5 covers 50%, total 232.5 goes over 50% (our line).\n\nFull player table on the card. Player props in the reply. #NBA #JazzGrizzlies\n21+ · Not betting advice · Gambling problem? 1-800-GAMBLER","legs":[{"event":"ls:1868310","pick":{"m":"winner","s":"a"},"odds":null,"result":"loss","mo":[1.67,2.05]},{"event":"ls:1868310","pick":{"m":"handicap","s":"a","l":-0.5},"odds":null,"result":"loss"}]},{"id":"2112999909754372423:0","tweet":"2112999909754372423","posted":"2026-10-21T20:10:10Z","kind":"combo","odds":null,"result":"win","profit":null,"p0":0.43,"text":"We simulated the Bulls at the Raptors 10,000 times 🏀\nRaptors win 57% of our sims. Median final: Bulls 114, Raptors 116.\nBuzelis under 16.5 points hits in 62% of sims.\nRaptors -2.5 covers 50%, total 230.0 goes over 49% (our line).\n\nFull player table on the card. Player props in the reply. #NBA #BullsRaptors\n21+ · Not betting advice · Gambling problem? 1-800-GAMBLER","legs":[{"event":"ls:1868335","pick":{"m":"winner","s":"h"},"odds":null,"result":"win","mo":[1.28,1.21]},{"event":"ls:1868335","pick":{"m":"handicap","s":"h","l":-2.5},"odds":null,"result":"win"}]},{"id":"2112994875717157231:0","tweet":"2112994875717157231","posted":"2026-10-21T19:50:10Z","kind":"combo","odds":null,"result":"loss","profit":null,"p0":0.282,"text":"We simulated the Timberwolves at the Heat 10,000 times 🏀\nHeat win 55% of our sims. Median final: Timberwolves 115, Heat 117.\nAdebayo over 16.5 points hits in 56% of sims.\nHeat -2.5 covers 48%, total 231.0 goes over 50% (our line).\n\nFull player table on the card. Player props in the reply. #NBA #TimberwolvesHeat\n21+ · Not betting advice · Gambling problem? 1-800-GAMBLER","legs":[{"event":"ls:1867557","pick":{"m":"winner","s":"h"},"odds":null,"result":"loss","mo":[1.64,1.84]},{"event":"ls:1867557","pick":{"m":"handicap","s":"h","l":-2.5},"odds":null,"result":"loss"}]},{"id":"2112989848822743507:0","tweet":"2112989848822743507","posted":"2026-10-21T19:30:12Z","kind":"combo","odds":null,"result":"win","profit":null,"p0":0.244,"text":"We simulated the Hawks at the Magic 10,000 times 🏀\nHawks win 54% of our sims. Median final: Hawks 115, Magic 113.\nJohnson under 20.5 points hits in 56% of sims.\nHawks -0.5 covers 53%, total 228.0 goes over 49% (our line).\n\nFull player table on the card. Player props in the reply. #NBA #HawksMagic\n21+ · Not betting advice · Gambling problem? 1-800-GAMBLER","legs":[{"event":"ls:1868341","pick":{"m":"winner","s":"a"},"odds":null,"result":"win","mo":[2.14,2.14]},{"event":"ls:1868341","pick":{"m":"handicap","s":"a","l":-0.5},"odds":null,"result":"win"}]},{"id":"2112657651456757806:0","tweet":"2112657651456757806","posted":"2026-10-20T21:30:10Z","kind":"combo","odds":null,"result":"loss","profit":null,"p0":0.262,"text":"We simulated the Thunder at the Spurs 10,000 times 🏀\nSpurs win 55% of our sims. Median final: Thunder 113, Spurs 115.\nCastle under 16.5 points hits in 58% of sims.\nSpurs -1.5 covers 51%, total 228.5 goes over 50% (our line).\n\nFull player table on the card. Player props in the reply. #NBA #ThunderSpurs\n21+ · Not betting advice · Gambling problem? 1-800-GAMBLER","legs":[{"event":"ls:1867548","pick":{"m":"winner","s":"h"},"odds":null,"result":"loss","mo":[1.8,1.98]},{"event":"ls:1867548","pick":{"m":"handicap","s":"h","l":-1.5},"odds":null,"result":"loss","mo":[1.86,null]}]},{"id":"2112619908466897044:0","tweet":"2112619908466897044","posted":"2026-10-20T19:00:11Z","kind":"combo","odds":null,"result":"loss","profit":null,"p0":0.212,"text":"We simulated the Sixers at the Knicks 10,000 times 🏀\nSixers win 50% of our sims. Median final: Sixers 115, Knicks 115.\nEmbiid under 22.5 points hits in 64% of sims.\nKnicks -0.5 covers 48%, total 229.5 goes over 50% (our line).\n\nFull player table on the card. Player props in the reply. #NBA #SixersKnicks\n21+ · Not betting advice · Gambling problem? 1-800-GAMBLER","legs":[{"event":"ls:1867544","pick":{"m":"winner","s":"a"},"odds":null,"result":"win","mo":[2.42,2.45]},{"event":"ls:1867544","pick":{"m":"handicap","s":"h","l":-0.5},"odds":null,"result":"loss"}]},{"id":"2112607336695013714:0","tweet":"2112607336695013714","posted":"2026-10-20T18:10:14Z","kind":"single","odds":2.05,"os":"mkt","result":"win","profit":1.05,"p0":0.468,"text":"We simulated the Celtics at the Pistons 10,000 times 🏀\nPistons win 55% of our sims. Median final: Celtics 113, Pistons 115.\nGeorge under 16.5 points hits in 66% of sims.\nPistons -1.5 covers 51%, total 228.5 goes over 50% (our line).\n\nFull player table on the card. Player props in the reply. #NBA #CelticsPistons\n21+ · Not betting advice · Gambling problem? 1-800-GAMBLER","legs":[{"event":"ls:1867553","pick":{"m":"winner","s":"h"},"odds":null,"result":"win","mo":[1.8,2.05]}]},{"id":"2112607336695013714:1","tweet":"2112607336695013714","posted":"2026-10-20T18:10:14Z","kind":"single","odds":null,"result":"win","profit":null,"p0":0.543,"text":"We simulated the Celtics at the Pistons 10,000 times 🏀\nPistons win 55% of our sims. Median final: Celtics 113, Pistons 115.\nGeorge under 16.5 points hits in 66% of sims.\nPistons -1.5 covers 51%, total 228.5 goes over 50% (our line).\n\nFull player table on the card. Player props in the reply. #NBA #CelticsPistons\n21+ · Not betting advice · Gambling problem? 1-800-GAMBLER","legs":[{"event":"ls:1867553","pick":{"m":"handicap","s":"h","l":-1.5},"odds":null,"result":"win"}]},{"id":"2112246522804932973:0","tweet":"2112246522804932973","posted":"2026-10-19T18:16:29Z","kind":"single","odds":1.24,"os":"mkt","result":"win","profit":0.24,"p0":0.772,"text":"49ers are the side. We ran Commanders at 49ers 10,000 times and the 49ers win 67% of them.\n\nThe most typical of those sims, no fluke plays, nothing weird, ends 49ers 28, Commanders 23. Below: how that game goes, what's driving it, and where the money sits.\n\n#WASvsSF https://video.twimg.com/ext_tw_video/2112246497467064320/pu/vid/avc1/320x568/jixdkCdyoE77VkQW.mp4?tag=12","legs":[{"event":"ls:1780051","pick":{"m":"winner","s":"h"},"odds":null,"result":"win","mo":[1.4,1.24]}]},{"id":"2111960740953223625:0","tweet":"2111960740953223625","posted":"2026-10-18T23:20:53Z","kind":"combo","odds":null,"result":"loss","profit":null,"p0":0.164,"text":"Cowboys–Packers kicks off in an hour. Here's how our updated 10,000 sims see it 👇\n\nCowboys win 53% · Cowboys +1 cover 53% · Under 53.5 58%\n\n21+ · Not betting advice · Gambling problem? 1-800-GAMBLER\n\n#DALvsGB","legs":[{"event":"ls:1780046","pick":{"m":"winner","s":"a"},"odds":null,"result":"loss","mo":[2.4,1.81]},{"event":"ls:1780046","pick":{"m":"handicap","s":"a","l":1.0},"odds":null,"result":"loss"},{"event":"ls:1780046","pick":{"m":"total","l":53.5,"d":"under"},"odds":null,"result":"win"}]},{"id":"2111889086180995268:0","tweet":"2111889086180995268","posted":"2026-10-18T18:36:09Z","kind":"single","odds":1.81,"os":"mkt","result":"loss","profit":-1.0,"p0":0.527,"text":"Cowboys by a hair. We ran Cowboys at Packers 10,000 times and the Cowboys win 52% of them.\n\nThe most typical of those sims, no fluke plays, nothing weird, ends Cowboys 27, Packers 24. Below: how that game goes, what's driving it, and where the money sits.\n\n#DALvsGB https://video.twimg.com/ext_tw_video/2111889064206954498/pu/vid/avc1/320x568/yv1b0l9VpNVz2wGP.mp4?tag=12","legs":[{"event":"ls:1780046","pick":{"m":"winner","s":"a"},"odds":null,"result":"loss","mo":[2.4,1.81]}]},{"id":"2111872796133384609:0","tweet":"2111872796133384609","posted":"2026-10-18T17:31:25Z","kind":"single","odds":1.4,"os":"mkt","result":"win","profit":0.4,"p0":0.682,"text":"Bills are the side. We ran Bills at Raiders 10,000 times and the Bills win 67% of them.\n\nThe most typical of those sims, no fluke plays, nothing weird, ends Bills 28, Raiders 21. Below: how that game goes, what's driving it, and where the money sits.\n\n#BUFvsLV https://video.twimg.com/ext_tw_video/2111872774507536384/pu/vid/avc1/320x568/Vd9F5jaARMNw7-Yl.mp4?tag=12","legs":[{"event":"ls:1780044","pick":{"m":"winner","s":"a"},"odds":null,"result":"win","mo":[1.35,1.4]}]},{"id":"2111846601597550636:0","tweet":"2111846601597550636","posted":"2026-10-18T15:47:20Z","kind":"single","odds":1.33,"os":"mkt","result":"loss","profit":-1.0,"p0":0.719,"text":"Sunday, simulated 🎲\n\nEvery game today ran 10,000 times. We typed one question into each of three of them.\n\n• Caleb Williams 225+ passing yards AND a Bears win: 24.0% of sims, fair odds +316\n• Malik Nabers leads the Giants in receiving yards in 48.7% of sims\n• In the sims where Josh Downs scores, the Colts win 75.6%\n\nEvery game is up. Ask it your own: any prop, any line, any parlay. Free.\n\n21+. Not","legs":[{"event":"ls:1780043","pick":{"m":"winner","s":"h"},"odds":null,"result":"loss","mo":[1.52,1.33]}]},{"id":"2111835094189039659:0","tweet":"2111835094189039659","posted":"2026-10-18T15:01:37Z","kind":"single","odds":1.89,"os":"mkt","result":"loss","profit":-1.0,"p0":0.504,"text":"Giants by a hair. We ran Saints at Giants 10,000 times and the Giants win 54% of them.\n\nThe most typical of those sims, no fluke plays, nothing weird, ends Giants 26, Saints 21. Below: how that game goes, what's driving it, and where the money sits.\n\n#NOvsNYG https://video.twimg.com/ext_tw_video/2111835070667341824/pu/vid/avc1/320x568/YeBMxJvdMqtu7t-w.mp4?tag=12","legs":[{"event":"ls:1780068","pick":{"m":"winner","s":"h"},"odds":null,"result":"loss","mo":[1.67,1.89]}]},{"id":"2111814893909295574:0","tweet":"2111814893909295574","posted":"2026-10-18T13:41:20Z","kind":"single","odds":1.95,"os":"mkt","result":"loss","profit":-1.0,"p0":0.488,"text":"Falcons by a hair. We ran Bears at Falcons 10,000 times and the Falcons win 57% of them.\n\nThe most typical of those sims, no fluke plays, nothing weird, ends Falcons 26, Bears 23. Below: how that game goes, what's driving it, and where the money sits.\n\n#CHIvsATL https://video.twimg.com/ext_tw_video/2111814871561981952/pu/vid/avc1/320x568/z-iS-UkSm5aYKb8F.mp4?tag=12","legs":[{"event":"ls:1780054","pick":{"m":"winner","s":"h"},"odds":null,"result":"loss","mo":[2.4,1.95]}]},{"id":"2111797363354243289:0","tweet":"2111797363354243289","posted":"2026-10-18T12:31:41Z","kind":"single","odds":1.7,"os":"mkt","result":"loss","profit":-1.0,"p0":0.564,"text":"Jaguars are the side. We ran Texans at Jaguars 10,000 times and the Jaguars win 61% of them.\n\nThe most typical of those sims, no fluke plays, nothing weird, ends Jaguars 23, Texans 20. Below: how that game goes, what's driving it, and where the money sits.\n\n#HOUvsJAX https://video.twimg.com/ext_tw_video/2111797340247834624/pu/vid/avc1/320x568/U1wKCP4Sfj1eVLk9.mp4?tag=12","legs":[{"event":"ls:1780060","pick":{"m":"winner","s":"h"},"odds":null,"result":"loss","mo":[1.95,1.7]}]},{"id":"2111260972044161371:0","tweet":"2111260972044161371","posted":"2026-10-17T01:00:15Z","kind":"single","odds":null,"result":"loss","profit":null,"p0":0.666,"text":"📋 +EV board, Fri Oct 16, 8:00 PM CT: 3 prices that beat the rest of the market right now.\n\n• Dalton Kincaid over 4.5 catches at +130 on ESPN BET: fair +121, +4.2% EV (BUF at LV, Sun 3:25 PM CT)\n• Charlie Kolar over 2.5 catches at +135 on DraftKings (@DKSportsbook): fair +127, +3.7% EV (LAC at KC, Sun 3:25 PM CT)\n• Denzel Boston under 3.5 catches at +107 on betPARX: fair -100, +3.5% EV (BAL at CLE,","legs":[{"event":"ls:1835257","pick":{"m":"team_total","s":"a","l":3.5,"d":"under"},"odds":null,"result":"loss"}]},{"id":"2111193067277422970:0","tweet":"2111193067277422970","posted":"2026-10-16T20:30:25Z","kind":"single","odds":2.14,"os":"mkt","result":"loss","profit":-1.0,"p0":0.448,"text":"The Bucs offense was already bad with Mayfield, and our sims have it scoring 18.6 against Pittsburgh. That's -0.09 EPA per play, 26th of 32. The Steelers are only middling on defense, so this is Pittsburgh by 2.5 in our sims with a 39.7 total, and TB wins 44% of the time.\nhttps://x.com/AdamSchefter/status/2111174705214300595","legs":[{"event":"ls:1780057","pick":{"m":"winner","s":"h"},"odds":null,"result":"loss","mo":[1.8,2.14]}]},{"id":"2109771135294345378:0","tweet":"2109771135294345378","posted":"2026-10-12T22:20:10Z","kind":"single","odds":1.89,"os":"mkt","result":"loss","profit":-1.0,"p0":0.504,"text":"📊 The under 55.5 is the total play in the Buffalo Bills at Los Angeles Rams game. We project 48.5 points.\n\n📊 Spread: we make Rams -1.1, the market has -3.5. Over/under: we project 48.5, the market 55.5. Moneyline: Rams 52% to win, fair -106 against -159. Best price: under 55.5 at -105 on Bovada, EV +0.7%. That is the book's price against the market's fair chance.\n\n🎯 Player props with the best EV i","legs":[{"event":"ls:1780039","pick":{"m":"total","l":55.5,"d":"under"},"odds":null,"result":"loss","mo":[null,1.89]}]},{"id":"2109408743288869053:0","tweet":"2109408743288869053","posted":"2026-10-11T22:20:09Z","kind":"single","odds":null,"result":"loss","profit":null,"p0":0.463,"text":"🛑 Pass on the lines in Baltimore Ravens at Atlanta Falcons: we make the Falcons -1 against a market of -3.5, but no book pays enough to bet it. The Week 5 plays here are fantasy and player props.\n\n📊 Spread: we make Falcons -1, the market has -3.5. Over/under: we project 41.9, the market 43.5. Moneyline: Falcons 51% to win, fair -106 against -159.\n\n🎯 Player props with the best EV in this game: Devo","legs":[{"event":"ls:1780027","pick":{"m":"handicap","s":"h","l":-1.0},"odds":null,"result":"loss"}]},{"id":"2109350858559242586:0","tweet":"2109350858559242586","posted":"2026-10-11T18:30:09Z","kind":"single","odds":null,"result":"loss","profit":null,"p0":0.52,"text":"📊 The under 54.5 is the total play in the Detroit Lions at Arizona Cardinals game. We project 46.1 points.\n\n📊 Spread: we make Cardinals +3.6, the market has +5.5. Over/under: we project 46.1, the market 54.5. Moneyline: Lions 64% to win, fair -177 against -217. Best price: under 54.5 at -102 on @DKSportsbook, EV +2.7%. That is the book's price against the market's fair chance.\n\n🎯 Player props: Fan","legs":[{"event":"ls:1780035","pick":{"m":"total","l":54.5,"d":"under"},"odds":null,"result":"loss"}]},{"id":"2109310622814883859:0","tweet":"2109310622814883859","posted":"2026-10-11T15:50:16Z","kind":"combo","odds":null,"result":"loss","profit":null,"p0":0.385,"text":"🛑 Minnesota Vikings at New Orleans Saints, Week 5: pass on the lines. We project 46.2 points against a total of 41.5, but no book's price is worth a bet yet. Fantasy and prop plays below.\n\n📊 Spread: we make Saints +6.8, the market has +2.5. Over/under: we project 46.2, the market 41.5. Moneyline: Vikings 73% to win, fair -277 against -125.\n\n🎯 Player props with the best EV in this game: Aaron Jones","legs":[{"event":"ls:1780034","pick":{"m":"handicap","s":"h","l":6.8},"odds":null,"result":"loss"},{"event":"ls:1780034","pick":{"m":"winner","s":"a"},"odds":null,"result":"win","mo":[1.83,1.74]}]},{"id":"2109245159695139024:0","tweet":"2109245159695139024","posted":"2026-10-11T11:30:08Z","kind":"single","odds":1.86,"os":"mkt","result":"loss","profit":-1.0,"p0":0.512,"text":"Take the over 41.5 in the Philadelphia Eagles at Jacksonville Jaguars game. Our total is 44.3, 2.8 above the line in Week 5. 21+ #PHIvsJAX #DUUUVAL https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HUWLS5VXoAAJMlQ.jpg","legs":[{"event":"ls:1780030","pick":{"m":"total","l":41.5,"d":"over"},"odds":null,"result":"loss","mo":[null,1.86]}]},{"id":"2109118060661502001:0","tweet":"2109118060661502001","posted":"2026-10-11T03:05:05Z","kind":"single","odds":null,"result":"loss","profit":null,"p0":0.463,"text":"The NFL betting market has NYG wrong in NYG at WAS. We make it NYG -1; the posted line is NYG +3.5. #NFLBetting https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HUUXswgXAAAMCdk.jpg","legs":[{"event":"ls:1780033","pick":{"m":"handicap","s":"a","l":-1.0},"odds":null,"result":"loss"}]},{"id":"2107176053949043024:0","tweet":"2107176053949043024","posted":"2026-10-05T18:28:15Z","kind":"single","odds":null,"result":"loss","profit":null,"p0":0.685,"text":"Injury beneficiaries 📊\n\nBiggest: Tre' Harris +1.7 if McConkey (LAC, Q) sits\nJohnston +1.5 · Gadsden +0.9 · Hampton +0.5\n\nBryant (DEN, D): Waddle +0.8 · Engram +0.6\nThornton out: Worthy +0.6 · Kelce +0.5 · Rice +0.4\n\nShort-term / season impact minimal.\n21+ · Not betting advice https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HT4xdIVXoAARs7n.jpg","legs":[{"event":"ls:1903313","pick":{"m":"handicap","s":"a","l":1.7},"odds":null,"result":"loss"}]}]}